Signal Petrochemical output doubled 1990 to 2010 and could triple by 2030
Summary
The report sees reversing the rise in production as the starting point for reducing harm from novel entities. Production of these substances is currently growing faster than the population. Output of basic petrochemicals, the feedstock for many industrial chemicals and plastics, doubled between 1990 and 2010. If present trends continue, output in 2030 could exceed three times the 2010 level. Recently, however, global production has stalled because of structural overcapacity. The report reads this as a sign that production could be cut to match actual demand, and it also proposes lowering demand itself by tackling overconsumption in high-income countries.
Classification
Main topicIndustry & Supply Chains
Secondary topicsEcosystems & Biodiversity
Region menusGlobal
Occurrencescope:global
Impactscope:global
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-09-30)
Published2026-09
Last updated2026-09-30 11:23 KST
Evidence 1
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Planetary Boundaries Science Lab (PBScience) Planetary Health Check 2026: A Scientific Assessment of the State of Our Planet Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Planetary Boundaries Science Lab (PBScience) no link — bibliographic entry p. 54 2026-09 accessed 2026-09-30
Part of trends 1
- TrendNovel entities released faster than they can be tested12 signals
Directly linked issues 1
- IssueCutting the production and proliferation of novel entities1 trends · 3 signals
Relation types: direct_urgent · supports
Public id: fm-04b571c5e996
