Trend Warming driving more frequent and severe extreme weather
Summary
The report defines climate change as a long-term shift in temperatures and weather patterns and traces it to human activity raising greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere. Burning coal, oil and gas and changing land use have sharply increased levels of carbon dioxide and methane, pushing up global temperatures. That warming has made extreme weather such as heavy rain and heatwaves more frequent and more intense. The report holds that each additional step of warming makes hazards like floods, heatwaves and droughts more common, endangering public health, lives, infrastructure and ecosystems. UK bodies have warned that poor planning and maladaptation in the UK could make these outcomes worse. The report adds that impacts such as sea level rise will continue even if net zero is reached and temperatures stabilise.
Classification
Evidence 1
- HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) Chronic Risks Analysis HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) no link — bibliographic entry pp. 54, 55 2025 accessed 2026-09-29
Observed signals 9
- Signal1.5 degrees of warming likely reached in the early 2030s
- Signal5.5 million UK homes and businesses at flood risk; Storm Babet hit 2,100 properties
- SignalAlgal blooms costing UK fisheries 224 million pounds a year
- SignalCarbon dioxide up 40% since the early 20th century to a two-million-year high
- SignalGlobal sea level up about 21cm since 1900
- SignalGlobal surface temperature up about 1.3 degrees; last ten years the warmest
- SignalThird National Adaptation Programme funds research and a local climate service pilot
- SignalUK invested 5.2 billion pounds in flood defences and up to 60 million for loss and damage
- SignalUK net zero target for 2050 under the Climate Change Act
Part of issues 3
- IssueGreen urban planning and crop diversification building resilience1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSea level rise and overheating data centres disrupting ports and services1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSystems approaches needed beyond climate for highly connected risks3 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-3e446ab4c44d
