Trend Quantum advantage will demand strength in numbers
Summary
IBM's fifth trend states that quantum computing has moved past wishful thinking, with recent research suggesting quantum advantage will probably appear by the end of 2026. The catch is that quantum at scale needs more computing power, richer data and deeper expertise than any single organisation can realistically maintain. IBM therefore argues that success requires joining one or more ecosystems. Quantum-ready organisations belong to several ecosystems at three times the rate of other organisations, and most executives say partners speed adoption and improve outcomes. IBM advises identifying big bets, partnering to share cost and risk, and training AI agents on ecosystem data.
Classification
Main topicAI & Computing
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-25)
Published2025-12
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST
Evidence 1
- 5 trends for 2026: Capture fleeting opportunities with confidence IBM Institute for Business Value (IBM IBV) page=20;section=Trend 5: Quantum advantage will demand strength in numbers 2025-12 accessed 2026-07-25
Observed signals 5
- Signal79% say ecosystem partners speed technology adoption
- Signal86% say ecosystem data improves their AI capabilities
- SignalIBM Quantum Loon demonstrates fault-tolerant computing hardware elements, one year ahead of schedule
- SignalIBM and University of Chicago Demonstrate Quantum Advantage, Establishing Trusted Quantum Computation on Logical Circuits
- SignalQuantum-ready organisations three times as likely to belong to multiple ecosystems
Part of issues 1
- IssueQuantum advantage defined against any classical method1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-6b5e87ed283f
