Signal Three-year average warming now above the Paris 1.5°C level
Summary
The report states that, measured as a three-year average, global warming has already passed the 1.5 degree threshold agreed under the Paris Agreement. Those three years were the warmest ever recorded, and the report sees warming as accelerating. The main reasons given for this apparent speed-up are the rapid heating of the polar regions and the melting of ice there. Because sea temperatures have reached record highs, the oceans also play a large part in driving the acceleration. The report observes that widespread harm and losses to nature and people are already occurring, and that the central Paris goal is slipping out of reach. It also stresses that every additional tenth of a degree of warming makes the consequences of climate change more severe.
Classification
Evidence 1
- Rijksoverheid — Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties (BZK), Directie KIEM, namens de werkgroep Rijksbrede Trendverkenning Rijksbrede trendverkenning Rijksoverheid — Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties (BZK), Directie KIEM, namens de werkgroep Rijksbrede Trendverkenning no link — bibliographic entry p. 50 2026-05 accessed 2026-09-30
Part of trends 1
- TrendAccelerating global warming and irreversible impacts5 signals
Directly linked issues 1
- IssueThe Paris 1.5°C goal moving out of reach1 trends · 2 signals
Relation types: direct_urgent · supports
Public id: fm-e377d2518c39
