Signal Weak Signal Cultivation Model (WSCM) — arXiv 2026: Collective Sensemaking Framework for Org Resilience

Summary

An arXiv preprint (2604.01495v2, dated June 28, 2026) by Maurice Codourey and Emmanuel A. Gonzalez proposes a Weak Signal Cultivation Model arguing that weak signals become organisational signals through collective interpretation rather than individual judgement. The model plots organisational risk signals on a continuous coordinate field with Risk Intensity and Risk Growth Potential as axes, dividing it into four regions: Question Marks, Lit Fuses, Sleeping Cats, and Owls. It calls for biweekly 'cultivation sessions' with teams of four to eight people who convert 0-4 numeric ratings into field coordinates, requiring no software beyond a whiteboard, printed form, or spreadsheet. The authors state the framework is 'designed to feed technology when it becomes available' for future AI integration, but acknowledge the document 'does not include an empirical user evaluation.'