Issue Scenario: each autonomous agent is given a quantified risk budget like a trading limit
Summary
One of NTT DATA's future scenarios for autonomy imagines agents operating under explicit human-set risk budgets. In this scenario, enterprises give every autonomous agent a defined allowance for how much uncertainty it may act under. The mechanism is compared to the risk limits used to control exposure in finance. The report treats this as a plausible way to keep scaled autonomy within human-defined bounds. It also lists the main uncertainties, namely whether regulators will make autonomy thresholds mandatory and whether uncertainty can be measured and audited well enough to run such a system. The scenario therefore depends as much on measurement science and regulation as on the agents themselves.
Classification
Evidence 1
- Technology Foresight 2026: Sustaining growth in the era of mass intelligence NTT DATA page=16;section=1 Human-orchestrated autonomy / Future scenarios 2026-03 accessed 2026-07-26
Futures articles 1
Constituent trends 1
Directly linked signals 0
No objects.
Relation types: constitutes
Public id: fm-0f38be259545
