P2 Democracy & Governance
by main topic: 331
Issues 118
Macroeconomy & Finance 22
0-3 years 5
- IssueDesigning a full-cycle management system for large R&D after the feasibility review is abolished0 trends · 2 signals
- IssueFunding for risk reduction judged inadequate1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueKorean strength: Compressed development experience0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueStructural redesign without workflow redesign produces a cost rebound1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe US fiscal tightrope: too little tightening risks crisis, too much risks stagnation1 trends · 1 signals
4-10 years 9
- IssueConverting capital momentum into sustained growth turns on workforce talent and public governance1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueCritiques of the Draghi diagnosis: overstated gains and neglected regional divergence1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueFour state-level constraints on the AI productivity lever1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueGap between future visions and executable strategies1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueGrowth-oriented decentralisation with super-regional planning, budgets and regional finance0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueInstitutional framework is the systematic weak point of the six growth markets1 trends · 7 signals
- IssueInstitutional trust is falling and historically hard to rebuild1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueLack of focus, dispersed spending and weak coordination as root causes of EU underperformance1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueThe plan calls for a 'new recovery' through inclusive growth and 'democratic innovation' as the spirit of the age3 trends · 0 signals
11-30 years 6
- IssueClaim that a stronger middle class produces trust and virtuous governance1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueScenario: Agile Pioneer0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueScenario: Gilded Cage0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueScenario: Isolated Innovator0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueScenario: Worn Anchor0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWeakening functions of local administration0 trends · 1 signals
Other 2
- IssueBiodiversity litigation against corporations and governments1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueEarly-warning system and present path0 trends · 6 signals
Industry & Supply Chains 7
- IssueCutting the production and proliferation of novel entities1 trends · 3 signals
- IssueFrom Public 'Good' to 'Great'1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueOrganizational rigidity, not external shocks, limits geopolitical response speed1 trends · 4 signals
- IssueOverhauling the national R&D system toward mission-oriented, basic and regional research0 trends · 1 signals
- IssuePlacement principles for matching relocated agencies to hub-city strengths0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueScenario branching and robust strategy0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTechnology decisions move to municipal, hospital and regional actors3 trends · 1 signals
Labor & Future of Work 11
- IssueAutonomy is framed as a graduated spectrum with designed human entry points1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueDecision rights must become dynamic rather than person-centric1 trends · 2 signals
- IssueDeconstructing functions risks losing stewardship and dissent1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueElectoral cycles make migration policy unplannable1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueFlattening hierarchies raise the cost of reactive leadership1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueGovernance becomes continuous and AI-assisted rather than periodic review1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueGovernment: low AI adoption risks compounding Talent Debt1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueRedesigning civil service competencies and public institution management for the AI era1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSenior technology managers report less AI strategy clarity than leadership does1 trends · 2 signals
- IssueThe binding constraint on autonomy moves from capability to responsible orchestration1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueWhy a second wave of public agency relocation is still justified1 trends · 1 signals
Trade & Economic Security 4
- IssueDecentralised science as cross-border research infrastructure1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueDivergent member-state interests over China complicate a unified EU response1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueGlobal middle-power coordination with like-positioned countries1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueThe EU lags global leaders and is itself split between northern and southern member states1 trends · 0 signals
Climate Change & Adaptation 6
- IssueA Chief Planetary Scientist in every country1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueAI-based disaster prediction and response for compound crises2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueChallenges to international institutions the most outward-connected risk1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueGrounding the post-2030 development agenda in planetary boundaries0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueKorea's 2050 vision: a sustainable society of trust and inclusion through harmony of people, technology and nature6 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWatch point: global governance must absorb networked states and states without territory1 trends · 0 signals
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 3
- IssueFragmented and contested governance of the seabed1 trends · 3 signals
- IssueInternational environmental regimes moving toward boundary-based governance0 trends · 3 signals
- IssueUnequal access to clean environments prompting litigation1 trends · 0 signals
Geopolitics & Security 6
- IssueGlobal South male health crises are structurally absent from mainstream frameworks2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueHow to hold technology firms accountable and fit them into global governance is unsettled1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueInternational cooperation and a unified investigation body against borderless intelligent crime1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueJoint action between governments seen as the most effective response0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMega-prisons and detention expansion create an invisible male humanitarian crisis1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSecuritisation of social and economic policy3 trends · 0 signals
Tech·Digital Policy 4
- IssueAI adoption in decisions is outrunning organizational oversight1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueAgenda 6: Upgrading innovation policy through linked and integrated data0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueExpanding state authoritarianism and shrinking civic space0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueScenario: each autonomous agent is given a quantified risk budget like a trading limit1 trends · 0 signals
Demographics & Migration 2
- IssueResetting the second relocation's goal from capital-region dispersion to non-capital growth hubs1 trends · 2 signals
- IssueShifting balanced development from even dispersion to selective hub strengthening2 trends · 1 signals
Cities & Housing 4
- IssueConcentrating second-wave agencies in regional hubs under the five-pole, three-special strategy1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueDigital twins risk reproducing or amplifying existing social gaps1 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePlace-based resentment despite small regional inequality0 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePolicy aversion to pairing advanced science with regional innovation1 trends · 2 signals
Welfare & Health 4
- IssueA Policy's True Measure1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueChronic risks as slow erosion that amplifies acute risks0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueDigital public-private partnerships around data rather than infrastructure1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueShifting to an integrated safety society under a Life Safety Basic Act1 trends · 1 signals
Education & Generations 2
- IssueNational Cognitive Potential (NCP)1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe plan seeks to institutionalise participation and deliberation and restore Korea to a top-ten democracy ranking1 trends · 1 signals
AI & Computing 15
- IssueAI in public administration: accountability and AI literacy0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueBuilding a demand-based, agile foresight pipeline tied to policy goals1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueBuilding a trusted AI government while securing the stability of public AI transformation1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueCalling Out Herd Mentality1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueFive policy approaches for survival-oriented future strategy2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueIT governance models have no account of systems that decide and act on their own1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueInadequate shared data for fast-moving, technically complex risks0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueLinear, plan-centric forecasting limits Korea's long-term statutory plans1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueLinking strategic foresight to policy through agile processes, AI collaboration and global networks1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueObservation and reporting gaps distort the planetary diagnosis1 trends · 1 signals
- IssuePermacrisis and a creeping technocratic shift toward 20401 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePopulism and digital politics0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueProving value, retaining talent and integrating AI challenge government foresight units1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe rise of new, participatory governance systems amid compound crises0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTurning the nine agendas into government policy through implementation, monitoring and feedback0 trends · 0 signals
Values & Lifestyles 5
- IssueGovernment: trust sustained by process, not delivery alone1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueNational unity, public communication and a veterans administration system1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueParallel worlds and the erosion of national solidarity3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe plan frames 2025 as the start of a new national era centred on citizens' happiness1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWatch point: digital communities rewrite the social contract and civic attachment1 trends · 0 signals
Media & Information Ecosystem 7
- IssueConnector risks channel impacts across domains0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueConspiracy narratives as tools of autocratic governments2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueConspiracy theories deepening affective polarisation1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueDated forecasts are presented as imperatives with no evidence base disclosed1 trends · 3 signals
- IssueEroded trust driving disengagement from democracy1 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePerception-driven attention can starve receding risks of resources2 trends · 2 signals
- IssuePolitical and ideological extremism0 trends · 0 signals
Other 16
0-3 years 8
- IssueElectoral volatility and harder coalition formation3 trends · 1 signals
- IssueGovernment falling short on delivery and expertise1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueInstitutions better at spotting risks than at reducing them1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueProbabilistic risk scoring judged unfit for chronic risks0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueSystems approaches needed beyond climate for highly connected risks3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe analysis disclaims prediction and complements existing plans0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUnkept promises, overly complex government and access to justice0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWeak governance and lack of political consensus as the main barriers0 trends · 0 signals
4-10 years 8
- IssueAligning the second relocation with a chain of regional administrative mergers0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueBuilding an integrated performance management system for the second relocation0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueConstitutional revision and political neutrality of the administration for a post-1987 order1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueCross-cutting trends versus a government organised by policy column0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueLessons from EU Foresight on Demand for embedding foresight in Korean policy2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueLessons from Singapore for linking Korean foresight to decision-making2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe plan's governance architecture: one vision, three principles, five national goals, 23 strategies and 123 national tasks0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueVulnerable rule-of-law watchdogs and power concentration2 trends · 0 signals
Trends 35
Macroeconomy & Finance 3
Trade & Economic Security 1
Climate Change & Adaptation 3
Geopolitics & Security 6
- TrendDemocracy weakens and authoritarianism gains ground3 signals
- TrendInternational institutions constrained in promoting peace and cooperation10 signals
- TrendMass incarceration becomes a primary engine of global health inequality for men2 signals
- TrendPopulist nationalism and strongman leadership erode the post-Cold War structure0 signals
- TrendTrend P: Breakdown of political and institutional stability0 signals
- TrendUncontrollable global shocks drive demand for strategic foresight in government1 signals
Tech·Digital Policy 1
Demographics & Migration 2
Cities & Housing 1
Welfare & Health 2
Education & Generations 2
- TrendDeclining academic freedom0 signals
- TrendMass protest still able to trigger change0 signals
AI & Computing 2
Values & Lifestyles 2
Media & Information Ecosystem 2
- TrendDisinformation and conspiracy thinking fuelling institutional distrust1 signals
- TrendGrowing sovereign-citizen movement0 signals
Other 8
- TrendCreeping democratic erosion in the Netherlands0 signals
- TrendEmbedding foresight inside the core of government decision-making3 signals
- TrendEroding confidence in multilateral capacity to reduce risks1 signals
- TrendGlobal spread of autocracy and declining freedom5 signals
- TrendGradual erosion of the rule of law in EU member states1 signals
- TrendOrganised crime gaining undermining influence1 signals
- TrendPolitical fragmentation and longer caretaker periods0 signals
- TrendResilient citizen movements and institutionalised citizens' assemblies1 signals
Signals 178
Macroeconomy & Finance 21
0-3 years 20
- Signal85% of leaders regret past decisions and 72% report data-driven decision paralysis
- Signal86% judge funding for risk reduction inadequate
- Signal91 percent of high performers centralize technology investment prioritization
- SignalCambodia has the group's weakest Business Perception and falls well below peers on Public Governance
- SignalCanadian data claims arts prescribing cuts primary care visits 42% and returns $4.43 per dollar
- SignalChina expands its footprint in multilateral institutions and development finance
- SignalClarity on must-win battles falls from 56% of executives to 27% of middle managers
- SignalCongressional Bill H.R. 6500 Signed into Law
- SignalEngland publishes a first Men's Health Strategy with GBP 3.6 million for male suicide prevention
- SignalGuyana Elections Commission Hasn't Met in a Year, Still Doesn't Reflect Election Outcome
- SignalInvestors' Rights spread runs from 1.7 SD above peers in Malaysia to 2.0 SD below in Lao PDR
- SignalJohnson & Johnson assigns a data steward to each stage of the financial process during its ERP rollout
- SignalKKR to Pay Record $250M Penalty Over Repeated Merger-Filing Violations
- SignalKorea exempts R&D programmes from preliminary feasibility review and adds pre-planning checks
- SignalKorea's new planning and budget ministry plans a Future Vision 2045
- SignalManagerial protectionism (41%) is the top barrier to reallocating budget and talent
- SignalPrioritizing and planning technology investment is the most centralized activity at 78 percent
- SignalProcurement Act 2023 in force from February 2025
- SignalSenate Leaders Reach Deal to Avert Government Shutdown Before 2026 Midterms
- SignalUS Firms' Q2 Lobbying Revenue Reportedly Hits Record High
4-10 years 1
Industry & Supply Chains 9
- Signal32 percent report too many disconnected AI projects with little shared governance
- Signal42% say GBS transformation needs a clear vision, mandate, and governance structure
- Signal67 percent say ineffective forecasting hampers response to market and technology shocks
- Signal78 percent still evaluate emerging technology through established processes
- SignalCross-functional processes consume 40 to 65 percent of managerial time without clear ownership
- SignalKorea ranks 20th of 38 on OECD product market regulation and scores poorly on network entry
- SignalMinnesota Governor Walz Signs Executive Order to Block Copper Mining Near Boundary Waters
- SignalRigidity is cited by 46% of large-organization leaders against 34% at smaller ones
- SignalSimplifying governance can free 20 to 60 percent of management time
Labor & Future of Work 11
- Signal2 percent of high performers report disconnected AI projects against 34 percent of the rest
- Signal31 percent plan to increase investment in centers of excellence within a year
- Signal57% of organizations operate at low decision-making maturity
- SignalAI adoption scales faster where CTOs lead rather than CEOs alone
- SignalCross-functional AI governance appears as merged IT-HR, AI councils, and new C-suite roles
- SignalEarly warning 2: Core reform bill completion
- SignalEarly warning 3: Social dialogue functionality
- SignalLeaders clear on priorities are more optimistic and more confident in adapting
- SignalNHS England logs 5.5 million social prescribing referrals and plans 9,000 link workers
- SignalPaid paternity leave now exists in 105 of 186 countries but averages four days
- SignalSafety policy remained reactive and fragmented after major disasters, and small-workplace fatality rates have not fallen
Trade & Economic Security 1
Climate Change & Adaptation 6
- SignalClimate inaction, debt crisis and geopolitical tensions highest in preparedness
- SignalECtHR KlimaSeniorinnen ruling and ICJ opinion on climate obligations
- SignalHouse Judiciary chair Jim Jordan investigates foreign funding of ClientEarth USA's climate lawsuits
- SignalMontreal Protocol shows boundary transgression can be reversed
- SignalTuvalu has asked the United Nations to recognize it as a digital state
- SignalUrgenda (2019) and Shell (2021) climate rulings in the Netherlands
Resources, Food & Water 3
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 6
- SignalHigh Seas Treaty entered into force in January 2026
- SignalKunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework being implemented
- SignalOver 40 states call for a deep-sea mining moratorium
- SignalTrump Administration Pauses Big Bend National Park Border Wall Construction After Bipartisan Backlash
- SignalUK pledges over 200 million pounds on deforestation and 100 million to the World Bank
- SignalUN Global Plastics Treaty negotiations
Geopolitics & Security 15
- SignalA clear majority of the world's population lives in countries that are not democracies
- SignalColombia's De la Espriella Sworn In as President, Marking Sharp Rightward Political Shift
- SignalDamascus court sentences former President Assad to death in absentia
- SignalForeign actors almost certainly sought to interfere in the 2019 election
- SignalH.R. 4795: Protect Economic and Academic Freedom Act of 2026 -- House Vote #295 -- Sept. 3, 2026
- SignalInternational organizations invite firms to give policy advice and states appoint tech ambassadors
- SignalIranian parliament advances bill to curb foreign influence
- SignalNicaragua Passes Reform Barring Opposition From Elections
- SignalReport states authoritarian regimes now outnumber democracies worldwide
- SignalThe United States classified as a declining democracy
- SignalTurkish parliament approves PKK reintegration framework law
- SignalTurkish parliament closes term with 21 new laws, 15 international agreements
- SignalTwo new coalitions form around global governance and Charter renewal
- SignalUS withdraws from international organisations and cuts foreign aid
- SignalZambia Halts Nationwide Vote Counting Amid Security Concerns
Tech·Digital Policy 8
- SignalAgentic AI is coming to government faster than its guardrails
- SignalCanada opens public consultations on a Men and Boys' Health Strategy
- SignalDavos 2026 shifts AI governance debate from whether to govern to how states implement
- SignalGlobal push for AI governance amid warnings of 'catastrophic harm'
- SignalIndia's Lok Sabha Passes Bankers' Books Evidence Bill 2026, Allowing Police Access to Bank Records Without Court Order
- SignalSri Lanka to trial AI-assisted legislation drafting
- SignalUN Independent International Scientific Panel on AI releases preliminary report ahead of Global Dialogue on AI Governance; Global South excluded from AI governance, UN warns
- SignalUS HHS inspector general audits department's AI governance
Demographics & Migration 9
- Signal113 of Korea's 228 basic local governments are classified at risk of extinction
- SignalDenver, Latino civil rights groups sue to block armed ICE at polling places
- SignalFederal Judge Blocks New York's ICE Mask Ban Law on Supremacy Clause Grounds
- SignalItaly extends border controls with Spain as about ten EU countries reintroduce temporary internal checks
- SignalKorea's first wave relocated 153 public agencies to ten innovation cities and Sejong
- SignalMorocco Votes for New Parliament After Gen Z Protests and Ceuta Migration Surge
- SignalTrump Signs Narrowed Executive Orders Targeting Birthright Citizenship and Birth Tourism
- SignalTrump Signs New Executive Orders Restricting Birthright Citizenship
- SignalUSCIS Policy Change Expands Authority to Deny Applications Without Request for Evidence
Cities & Housing 5
- SignalJapan's municipalities fell from 3,200 to under 1,720 in the 2000 to 2006 mergers
- SignalJeonnam-Gwangju integrated special city launches in July 2026 as regional mergers gather pace
- SignalKorea's new government frames regional innovation as national balanced growth
- SignalRegion-led S&T innovation bill advances in the National Assembly
- SignalRemedies Abandoned: US Civil Rights Enforcement Under the Trump Administration
Welfare & Health 7
- SignalEU Ombudsman opens investigation into Pfizergate text-message secrecy
- SignalFirst congressional psychedelic caucus is co-chaired across party lines
- SignalLancet viewpoint counts 23 US arts prescribing programmes and Social Prescribing USA about 250 providers
- SignalSenators introduce the Innovative Therapies Centers of Excellence Act in March 2026
- SignalStill funded, no longer counted: how NIH's 2025 award reviews changed what the government counts as minority health research
- SignalUK Cheers Adeleke, Flags BVAS, Vote Buying, Accessibility Issues in Osun Poll
- SignalUN humanitarian funding gap of 46.4 billion dollars for 2024
Education & Generations 7
- SignalCSF builds foresight capacity across Singapore's public service
- SignalCivil Rights Groups Seek Records From 5 Tennessee School Districts Over Ten Commandments Displays
- SignalFederal judge dismisses Trump administration's antisemitism lawsuit against Harvard
- SignalMassachusetts governor signs Freedom to Read Law to prevent book bans
- SignalResearchers sue NIH over keyword screening of grant applications
- SignalSlight rise in serious youth violence and knife violence
- SignalSurvey: digital transition with AI convergence and a national R&D innovation system lead priority science and technology tasks
AI & Computing 12
- Signal45% of boards had AI off the agenda in 2024; 40% rethought board makeup by 2025
- SignalAI 2026 Midterm Campaign Tools: DonorAtlas, Quiller, BattlegroundAI Surge
- SignalAI Companies Pour $125M Into 2026 U.S. Midterms; Deepfakes Enter Electoral Politics
- SignalAI and 2026 Elections: Deepfakes and "Liar's Dividend" Threaten Electoral Integrity
- SignalAI oversight is shifting from the full board to the audit committee
- SignalCourt upholds Trump election order that also sets federal AI policy directives
- SignalCross-impact analysis of 16 trends flags four candidate dominant drivers
- SignalDemocracy Needs Friction To Function (Japan Team Mirai AI chatbot election)
- SignalEU's Foresight on Demand scales up into a framework-contract service
- SignalFutures4Europe and Eye of Europe knit European foresight into a standing network
- SignalKISTEP's data-driven scan confirms 5 megatrends, 16 trends and 59 issues for 2050
- SignalNew benchmark finds LLMs mediate political information reliably only under clear evidence
Energy & Climate Tech 1
Digital Infrastructure & Cyber 2
Values & Lifestyles 6
- Signal2025 survey of 300 experts and 1,000 citizens ranks trends by impact and uncertainty
- Signal40% globally and 48% in North America blame the sociopolitical environment for scaling back
- Signal55% back international cooperation even at national cost as UN favourability slips
- Signal92.6% of Koreans rate social conflict as serious in a January 2025 public conflict survey
- SignalFinnish citizens' initiative to add composting and water cremation to burial law
- SignalKorea fell from 23rd (full democracy) in 2020 to 32nd (flawed democracy) in 2024 in the EIU Democracy Index
Media & Information Ecosystem 7
- SignalDutch Court Ruling Disclosed: State Failed to Protect Crown Witness's Family in Taghi Case
- SignalEarly warning 1: Political and institutional trust
- SignalGallup Poll: Bipartisan Concern Over Election Integrity Ahead of 2026 Midterms
- SignalPakistan's Cyber Crime Agency Summons Journalist Asad Ali Toor Under PECA Over Alleged Fake Information
- SignalPublic trust in government fell from 51% in 2020 to 38% in 2024 on the Edelman Trust Barometer
- SignalThe report states its policy implications are not predictions and the list is not exhaustive
- SignalThe report states three selection criteria and no selection method
Religion & Identity 2
Other 40
0-3 years 39
- Signal1,300 of 2,701 survey responses retained
- Signal148 new deliberative structures in OECD countries, 2001 to 2023
- Signal28-risk list derived from over 40 risk reports
- SignalAbout 38 percent of the world's population lived in Not Free countries in 2022, with democracy declining for 16 straight years
- SignalAfrican Union joins the G20 in 2024
- SignalCSF's Scenario Planning Plus toolkit targets discontinuities
- SignalCalifornia Supreme Court orders Riverside County sheriff to return 650,000 seized ballots
- SignalCanada's Supreme Court rules Parliament cannot shield Ethics Commissioner decisions from judicial review
- SignalCaribbean Court of Justice clears way for US extradition of Guyana's opposition leader to resume
- SignalConfidence in risk reduction fell for 23 of 28 risks
- SignalFBI orders 260 staffers to Georgia to assist with 2020 election investigation
- SignalGhana's Supreme Court rules party delegate system unconstitutional
- SignalHalf of respondents from Europe and Northern America
- SignalICC secured only eight convictions in 17 years
- SignalIndonesian State Bank Freezes Anti-Corruption Protesters' Donation Account
- SignalKorea expands state foresight functions, from a long-term strategy committee to a new planning and budget ministry
- SignalKorea's National Assembly passes special counsel bill to investigate election commission
- SignalKorea's ruling party advances bill stripping prosecutors of direct investigative power
- SignalLEMCOL Report: Liberian Legislature Gains on Transparency, But Quorum Violations and Falling Women's Participation Raise Concern
- SignalNew government set a national vision, five goals and 123 national tasks without a transition committee
- SignalOver 3 billion people in autocracies; 19th year of declining freedom (60 vs 34 countries)
- SignalPublic trust in government down to 27%, research shows
- SignalSingapore Law Minister Announces 'Significant Failings' Found in Law Society Workplace Culture Probe
- SignalSingapore's Centre for Strategic Futures sits inside the Prime Minister's Office
- SignalSouth Africa's Democratic Alliance Challenges Expropriation Act in Western Cape High Court
- SignalSouth African Cabinet approves four legislative amendment bills
- SignalSupreme Court blocks Missouri's GOP-favoring congressional map for second time
- SignalSupreme Court permits DHS to use modified SAVE program to verify voter citizenship
- SignalSurvey: New Report Analyzes the Two-Thirds of Americans Who Resist Christian Nationalism
- SignalTrust in political institutions declining since 2021; trust in science high and stable
- SignalTurkish parliament approves National Solidarity and Social Integration law
- SignalUK government identifies 26 chronic risks in seven themes
- SignalUS Congress Passes American Music Tourism Act, Sends to President's Desk
- SignalUS Supreme Court Lifts One of Two Injunctions on Mail Ballot Executive Order
- SignalUS Supreme Court strikes down party coordinated-expenditure limits as unconstitutional (NRSC v. FEC)
- SignalV-Dem reclassified Korea from liberal democracy in 2020 to electoral democracy
- SignalVoters in canton Vaud says 'yes' to a significant tax cut
- SignalWashington Supreme Court strikes down natural gas initiative as unconstitutional
- SignalZambia's Hichilema inaugurated for second term with election petition unresolved
Objects with this as a secondary topic 406
Macroeconomy & Finance 83
0-3 years 58
- Signal13 percent of high performers lack business sponsorship against 60 percent of the rest
- Signal36% of finance leaders own cost management and hit savings goals more often (47% versus 39%)
- Signal57% say they play a leading role in shaping enterprise strategy
- Signal58 percent acknowledge that traditional ROI measures do not fit AI projects
- Signal74% would not move more than a tenth of their workforce; only 30% reallocate enterprise-wide
- IssueA fixed frame with a shifting indicator base does not make editions comparable1 trends · 5 signals
- IssueAI is where measuring and predicting technology returns breaks down2 trends · 5 signals
- IssueAdaptability depends on being able to shift the investment balance quickly2 trends · 1 signals
- SignalAustralia Unveils Ban on Unlicensed Superannuation Telemarketing After Fund Collapses
- SignalAverage reported tech ROI is 200 percent, with returns shaped by execution rather than spend
- SignalBRICS and SCO build alternative payment and development-finance channels
- SignalChina works through a partial balance sheet reset with debt at all-time highs
- TrendChina's deflation trap4 signals
- SignalCurrency and deposits fell from pandemic peaks but remain above pre-crisis levels
- SignalDomestic resource mobilisation and tax reform prioritised at Sevilla
- SignalEU disburses €1.5 billion to Egypt under Macro-Financial Assistance programme
- IssueEconomic vulnerability centred on a global financial crisis1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalFigure 3 gives each of the six a global rank in all five GOI categories
- SignalFigure 6 gives standardized peer-comparison scores for the six across all fourteen subcategories
- TrendFinance leaders move from stewardship to leading enterprise strategy5 signals
- SignalFive of six beat peers on Business Constraints while the same five lag on Recovery and Resolution
- SignalGOI 2026 coverage excludes China, Germany, Japan, and India for want of Business Ready data
- SignalGOI 2026 organizes its indicators into five categories and fourteen subcategories
- SignalGOI indicators are drawn from the World Bank, the IMF, and Transparency International
- SignalGovernment debt exceeded 100% of GDP in eight advanced economies in 2025
- TrendGovernment debt keeps expanding as interest rates approach or exceed growth rates4 signals
- SignalIMF put Chinese public debt at 124% of GDP in 2024 once off-book items are added
- SignalIndonesia ranks 46th overall and 38th in Financial Services, compared with 78th in 2022
- SignalInequality ranked the most interconnected global risk of the decade
- SignalKorea's 2025 Commercial Act amendment extends directors' duty of loyalty to all shareholders
- SignalKorea's managed fiscal deficit stays near 4 percent of GDP after the pandemic
- SignalKorean court dismisses activist fund's $49 million suit against former KT&G directors
- SignalKorean equities remain undervalued despite successive capital market reforms
- SignalLao PDR is last of the six with 75th in Economic Fundamentals and 79th in Institutional Framework
- SignalMalaysia leads the six at 23rd overall, 17th in Financial Services and 18th in Business Perception
- SignalMandatory spending absorbs most budget growth while the tax burden ratio has fallen
- SignalMore confident organizations reallocate budget and talent enterprise-wide more often
- IssueNo consensus on priorities: everything, everywhere, all at once1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueOrganizations hesitate to divest even when they are no longer the best owner1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueOrganizations lose clarity about what their core actually is as they grow1 trends · 1 signals
- SignalPeer comparison uses a z-score with 1.96 treated as a significance threshold
- IssuePreventing demand-driven core inflation from becoming broad-based and entrenched in Korea2 trends · 0 signals
- SignalPublic sector fraud and error cost at least 33 billion pounds a year
- IssueRisk: eroding fiscal space and government bond market instability1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalScenario planning (30%) and agile governance (28%) lead the actions for managing uncertainty
- TrendSpeed becomes the priority: finance strengthens scenario planning and agile governance6 signals
- TrendState capitalism with American characteristics5 signals
- IssueSwing factors, not daily indicators, mark the shift between pathways1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe 2026 strategy organises policy into four areas and fifteen tasks from AI transition to a sovereign wealth fund2 trends · 0 signals
- SignalThe Philippines pairs 6th in Economic Performance with 56th in Business Perception
- SignalThe US shows a structural uptick in productivity and rates alongside inflation above target
- SignalThe gap between growth and interest rates approached zero and may have flipped in the US in 2025
- SignalUS government debt near 120% of GDP would need three points of GDP in extra fiscal saving
- SignalUS philanthropy and the AMA move capital and professional backing behind men's health
- SignalUS regulators move to let private assets into retirement plans
- SignalVietnam ranks 39th overall on the strength of Economic Fundamentals
- SignalWeak shareholder protection and a real-estate-heavy household balance sheet underpin the Korea discount
- IssueWindows of opportunity open and close faster than finance's planning cycle1 trends · 0 signals
4-10 years 17
- IssueA cross-sectional correlation is turned into a policy lever1 trends · 2 signals
- IssueAs value creation moves before the IPO, evaluation shifts to proprietary predictive scores1 trends · 1 signals
- TrendCapitalism rebalanced9 signals
- IssueFinancing an additional 750 to 800 billion euros of investment a year1 trends · 1 signals
- TrendGrowing inequalities fueling discontent0 signals
- IssueLimited common EU funding and uneven national fiscal capacity constrain industrial policy1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalMGI argues rates are structurally higher, pushing debt ratios up absent policy change
- IssueOverhauling economies to fit within planetary boundaries1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSafeguarding fiscal sustainability as potential growth declines2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueStructural reform to lift total factor productivity2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueTax cuts and inflexible spending are said to threaten fiscal sustainability2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueThe 2026 strategy seeks a simultaneous rebound in potential growth and an end to polarisation2 trends · 1 signals
- SignalThe EU and ASEAN have proposed circular economy action plans and frameworks
- IssueThe government calls for rebuilding the national system for a frontier-led economy in the AI era3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe plan aims to turn the 'Korea discount' into a 'Korea premium' and reach a KOSPI 5,000 era0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueThe plan judges past policy discourses inadequate and sets growth plus reduced inequality as Korea's twin tasks1 trends · 0 signals
- TrendTrend 3: the next generation of large companies grows up outside public markets6 signals
11-30 years 1
- IssueShrinking tax base and the restructuring of public finances0 trends · 1 signals
Other 7
- IssueAn elevated balance sheet unwinds through productivity, inflation, a reset, or not at all3 trends · 1 signals
- IssueBalanced Books1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueHousehold wealth is partly a claim of citizens on themselves as taxpayers and customers1 trends · 2 signals
- IssueNo agreed threshold marks the point where government debt becomes unsustainable1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueRising cross-border online fraud with fewer convictions eroding trust1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTwo of the four scenarios imply structurally higher interest rates1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUniversal cryptocurrencies limiting monetary policy1 trends · 0 signals
Industry & Supply Chains 15
- Signal33 percent of high performers are frequently hit by external shifts against 65 percent of the rest
- Signal39% see redefining process flows as the best route past productivity barriers
- SignalAn FMCG firm eliminated 70% of duplicated reports and lifted engagement 25 points
- SignalCritical Imports and Supply Chains Strategy published January 2024
- SignalDraghi's recommendations enter EU policy through the Competitiveness Compass and the Industrial Accelerator Act
- SignalEmbraer built centers of excellence to push capabilities like intelligent automation across the group
- IssueGovernment role in helping firms turn the 2026 triple inflection into opportunity2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueGrowth-engine policy must shift from top-down state selection to active corporate participation1 trends · 1 signals
- SignalKenya Regulator Imposes Conditions on Asahi's $2.3 Billion Acquisition of Diageo's EABL
- SignalOne firm duplicated 35% of decisions and spent over 1,000 hours a month on manual reporting
- TrendShift 5: value capture depends on work flow rather than on organizational structure10 signals
- SignalSmall firms report hundreds of technology theft cases and weak legal redress
- IssueThe eurozone's swing factor is an uptick in productive investment1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueThe government's 'real growth' paradigm targets world-leading products through concentrated national support4 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWith no accepted ROI method, vendors get to define what agent value means1 trends · 1 signals
Labor & Future of Work 22
0-3 years 17
- Signal64% see linking individual to organizational goals as the key performance lever
- Signal66% now treat the technology organization as a revenue generator rather than a service centre
- Signal66% of C-suite leaders call moving beyond functional boundaries important; 7% report great progress
- SignalAlmost a third of CIOs call orchestrating other tech leaders essential within 18 months
- SignalAn insurer routes any risk-bearing task back to a human and publishes an AI manifesto
- SignalB.C. Labour Board Orders Amazon and Union Into Binding Arbitration Over Amazon's Objection
- IssueDividing tasks between agents and humans in the loop is the precondition for agentic AI1 trends · 1 signals
- SignalEEOC sues employer over race-segregated DEI training and retaliation
- SignalILO Adopts First Global Labor Standard for Platform Work — Convention No. 193
- SignalImproving organizations use dynamic goals at 46% against 33% of declining ones
- SignalModerna merged HR and IT under a chief people and digital technology officer
- SignalModerna merges HR and IT leadership as a structural signal of AI reshaping the workforce
- SignalMost organizations still plan the workforce every two to three years or annually
- SignalOnly 11% of managers strongly agree they have the data and tools to distribute work well
- IssuePerformance measurement breaks down as knowledge work absorbs AI1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalRolls-Royce raised strategy clarity to 82% and performance-update reach to 88%
- IssueThe barrier to agentic adoption is described as a process problem, not a technology problem1 trends · 1 signals
4-10 years 5
- IssueBalancing labour flexibility and security with a two-sided safety net in Korea2 trends · 0 signals
- TrendCorporate functions are being deconstructed and reassembled around outcomes6 signals
- IssueManaging agents needs a framework that borrows from HR without copying it1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalSuccessful leadership development doubles the success rate of transformations
- IssueUniversal flexible work rights and care support in Korea1 trends · 0 signals
Trade & Economic Security 8
- SignalA $550 billion Japanese fund directed by the White House outside appropriations
- IssueBeyond Classifications1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueKorea-EU cooperation on WTO reform and a rules-based trading order1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueTariff war erodes the WTO system and multilateral trade order1 trends · 1 signals
- SignalTrump Signs Graham Act Expanding Russia and Iran Sanctions with Tariff Powers
- SignalUS Court Says Trump Can Halt Tariff Exemption for Low-Cost Goods
- SignalUS government appeals order requiring tariff refunds to all importers, not just plaintiffs
- SignalUS imposes a temporary Section 122 import surcharge after the IEEPA ruling
Climate Change & Adaptation 29
0-3 years 21
- SignalAdaptation Fund Strengthens Country Ownership with New National Entities in Mexico and Nepal, Re-Accredits UNESCO
- SignalArctic climate report set for publication despite loss of federal support
- SignalChina's landmark Ecological and Environmental Code takes effect to drive green modernization
- SignalConCourt ends Shell's Wild Coast oil and gas lifeline in victory for coastal communities
- SignalEU and China reaffirm climate cooperation as the US retreats
- IssueEroding public support for climate measures and policy reversals0 trends · 0 signals
- SignalFederal court orders EPA to release over $22 billion in withheld environmental justice grants
- SignalFull NDC implementation still implies peak warming around 2.6 degrees or more
- SignalGreenpeace Taiwan Report Finds Tainan Faces Greatest Climate Governance Pressure
- IssueInteracting boundaries cannot be managed as nine separate targets0 trends · 2 signals
- SignalKorea's carbon neutrality legal framework is in place but climate impact assessment remains under-developed
- SignalMexico designates National Reforestation Day, pursues environmental law modernization
- SignalMichigan LCV criticizes Whitmer's approval of Line 5 pipeline tunnel
- SignalNinth Circuit denies full-court rehearing of youth climate case against Trump executive orders
- SignalOntario Court of Appeal Revives Youth Climate Charter Challenge, Orders New Hearing
- SignalSingapore launches its first National Adaptation Plan, designates 2026 'Year of Climate Adaptation'
- SignalSouth African Supreme Court to Hear Government Appeal in Landmark Youth Climate Case
- SignalThird National Adaptation Programme funds research and a local climate service pilot
- SignalUK invested 5.2 billion pounds in flood defences and up to 60 million for loss and damage
- SignalUS Appeals Court Rules EPA Cannot Block Billions in Climate Grants
- SignalUS Forest Service Moves to Rescind 25-Year-Old Roadless Rule Protecting National Forests
4-10 years 6
- IssueA narrowing window to bend the curves within this decade2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueClimate cooperation with like-minded partners and pragmatic green cooperation with China2 trends · 2 signals
- IssueEarth system models may overestimate land carbon resilience1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueQuantitative evaluation and feedback to make greenhouse gas policies deliver the NDC0 trends · 1 signals
- TrendRoutine climate disasters and hyper-uncertainty outpace experience-based disaster management1 signals
- TrendSolar radiation modification back on the agenda and the need for preventive atmospheric governance0 signals
Other 2
- IssueHumanitarian crises crowding out climate mitigation funding1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe Ultimate Climate Calculator1 trends · 0 signals
Resources, Food & Water 9
- Signal2023 Animal Health and Welfare Pathway funds farm biosecurity
- IssueBetter Water Meter1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalKorean police order reinvestigation of Young Poong advisor over smelter pollution case
- SignalMalawi, Mozambique and Tanzania sign agreement establishing Ruvuma River Basin Commission
- SignalPlant Biosecurity Strategy for Great Britain 2023 to 2028
- SignalThree fifths of 310 international river basins have no dispute framework
- SignalUK Plant Health Risk Register in place since 2013
- SignalUSDA's $700 million Regenerative Pilot Program is read as federal alignment
- TrendWater companies needing infrastructure upgrades to cut water pollution0 signals
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 9
- SignalCanadian appeals court upholds ruling against Chalk River nuclear waste facility permit
- SignalEnvironment Act 2021 sets air, water, waste and biodiversity targets
- SignalEnvironmental groups sue California over missed deadline on white sturgeon endangered species review
- IssueForest cover alone misreads land system health1 trends · 1 signals
- SignalForest estimate and boundary revised by method corrections
- SignalGlobal Biodiversity Framework targets restoring 30% of degraded areas by 2030
- SignalNext IPBES global assessment scheduled for 2028
- SignalSBSTTA-28 side event flags gender data gap in biodiversity monitoring
- IssueVirtual Nature1 trends · 0 signals
Geopolitics & Security 38
0-3 years 19
- Signal17% have no method to assess geopolitical impact and only 26% plan scenarios quarterly
- Signal78 countries fight beyond their borders as peace agreements become rare
- SignalConcern grows over a Belarus-Russia-Iran-North Korea-China alignment
- SignalCooperation continues overall but peace and security cooperation keeps falling
- IssueGeopolitical tensions, rule of law collapse and war at the core of the risk network0 trends · 0 signals
- SignalICC keeps Duterte detained ahead of November war-on-drugs trial
- SignalInter-Korean relations froze after the Audacious Initiative met provocations and cut channels
- SignalKorea joins Horizon Europe Pillar 2 and a 2025 bill proposes cooperation and research-security committees
- SignalKurdish-led SDF Dissolves After Merging With Syrian National Army
- IssueLarge-scale war seen as imminent and least prepared for1 trends · 2 signals
- SignalOrganizational rigidity (38%) is the top barrier to managing global fragility
- IssuePolitical risks as the strongest global vulnerability1 trends · 0 signals
- TrendPolitical risks moving to the centre of global risk perceptions2 signals
- SignalPrivate military actors taking strategic roles
- IssuePursuing international science cooperation and security at the same time1 trends · 1 signals
- SignalRights groups sue Trump administration over sanctions targeting International Criminal Court
- SignalThirty-four countries exert substantial influence abroad, up from six
- IssueTransactional US alliance demands and USFK strategic flexibility1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalUS Presses NATO Allies on Ideological Loyalty Ahead of Troop Cuts
4-10 years 12
- IssueBalancing the Korea-US alliance with Korean-style strategic autonomy1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueCountering the consolidation of an authoritarian North Korea-China-Russia bloc in Eurasia1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueDenuclearisation uncertainty and preventing a new Cold War bloc in Northeast Asia1 trends · 0 signals
- TrendExtreme uncertainty becomes the everyday condition for national strategy0 signals
- TrendFrom cooperation to competition: a fragmenting world order1 signals
- IssueGeopolitical distance becomes an input to organizational design1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMultilateralism off the rails1 trends · 6 signals
- IssuePolicy area 1: international relations must absorb new actors, new arenas and new entities4 trends · 2 signals
- IssueScenario: backcast from large-scale war in 20300 trends · 0 signals
- TrendStory 1: technology companies and their owners contest the primacy of states4 signals
- IssueThe plan shifts North Korea policy toward reconciliation and cooperation to build sustainable peaceful coexistence0 trends · 1 signals
- TrendUS-China rivalry hardens into a prolonged structural clash of national strategies4 signals
11-30 years 6
- Issue2050 regional order scenario 3: A pluralistic regional order led by middle powers1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueAbsence of a strong multilateral security institution in East Asia2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueKey point: new geostrategic policies and a multipolar world1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueKorea and Japan as co-responsible security partners in a regional multilateral order2 trends · 2 signals
- TrendMegatrend 5: Uncertainty of the global order0 signals
- IssueMulti-layered and fluid global governance0 trends · 0 signals
Other 1
- IssueWatch point: a firm or its owner takes unilateral diplomatic or military action1 trends · 0 signals
Tech·Digital Policy 32
0-3 years 21
- SignalCLARITY Act Crypto Market Structure Bill Faces August 7 Senate Deadline
- SignalCYBERFORT: A Compliance-Chain Platform Operationalising the Cyber Resilience Act for SMEs
- SignalCalifornia bill requires disclosure of training data composition
- SignalEU AI Act defines prohibited uses and assigns responsibility to developers and deployers
- SignalFrance's Constitutional Council Strikes Down Social Media Age-Verification Law, with Major EU Implications
- SignalFrance's social media law reaches enforceable date amid universal ID-check mandate
- SignalGovLab foresight study identifies seven convergent signals reshaping data governance in the AI era
- TrendInsight 18: jurisdictions diverge on what AI regulation is even for10 signals
- SignalKorea again postpones ruling on Google, Apple forced in-app payment practices
- IssueKorea's 2026 technology-regulation task: a trust-based regulatory system1 trends · 2 signals
- SignalKorea's AI Seoul Summit and 2025 APEC Gyeongju summit diplomacy
- SignalOver a third of citizens in 30 countries doubt their governments can regulate new technologies
- SignalPapua New Guinea seeks feedback on digital ID and data protection bills
- SignalSingapore IMDA releases world's first agentic AI governance framework
- SignalThailand seeks 'hybrid' AI governance model to become ASEAN's responsible-AI hub
- SignalThe EU AI Act obliges boards to build oversight mechanisms and evidence trails before enforcement
- SignalUS Representatives introduce AI Kill Switch Act requiring shutdown capability for powerful AI systems
- SignalVietnam Enacts Asia's First AI Law (March 2026); Singapore Launches World's First Agentic AI Governance Framework
- SignalWhite House March 2026 Blueprint: Centralize AI Regulation, Challenge State AI Laws
- SignalWhite House Reviews Voluntary AI Model-Testing Framework With OpenAI, Anthropic, and Other Top Firms
- IssueZero trust, transparency and provenance are reclassified from best practice to prerequisite1 trends · 1 signals
4-10 years 6
- SignalAI Governance Under Political Turnover: The Alignment Surface of Compliance Design (arXiv:2604.21103)
- SignalBuilding and Governing AI Systems: Advancing Social Workers' Roles across the Technology Industry, Human Service Organizations, and Policy Institutions
- SignalFrom Forensics to Ecosystems: Rethinking Watermarks for Generative AI Oversight
- SignalPaper Argues AI Governance Needs "Legitimacy," Not Just "Alignment"
- SignalPaper argues public-sector AI governance frameworks break down under general-purpose AI, using policing as a case study
- TrendShift toward strategic technology foresight linked to national strategy0 signals
11-30 years 3
Other 2
- IssueCourts may be unable to constrain AI even where the public demands it1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueDominant firms threatening relocation to extract lower taxes and regulation1 trends · 0 signals
Demographics & Migration 14
- Signal'Tsunami' of emigration reshapes Israel's future, experts warn
- SignalBorders stratify by skill and wealth as humanitarian routes tighten
- TrendCapital-region concentration hardens into a question of regional survival2 signals
- TrendConcentration of young people in Tokyo and Seoul drives local extinction5 signals
- SignalDHS 'public charge' immigration rule takes effect amid state and city lawsuits
- SignalFederal judge strikes down Trump policy suspending immigrant visas from 75 countries
- SignalInnovation-city inflows came mainly from neighbouring provinces rather than the capital region
- IssueIntergenerational fairness under ageing and climate costs2 trends · 1 signals
- SignalKorean audit projects most local governments at high risk of extinction by 2067
- SignalNet inflows to most innovation cities peaked in 2014 and 2015 and several have turned to net outflow
- SignalOver 50 countries now allow foreigners to live and work remotely for up to two years
- IssueScale and pace of foreign labour intake in Korea2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe plan faults past population policy for chasing short-term fertility gains instead of structural reform1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalWHO Decade of Healthy Ageing framed as the reference for age-friendly environments
Cities & Housing 10
- SignalCincinnati inspects bridges and roads with autonomous drones, compressing months into minutes
- SignalDelhi Moves to Give Every Property a Unique Aadhaar-Style Digital Identity
- SignalDelhi government to introduce Land Records Bill assigning digital 'Property Aadhaar' ID to every property
- IssueInfrastructure: where citizens experience state capacity directly1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueJoint Korea-Japan responses to local extinction through policy, youth and digital cooperation2 trends · 2 signals
- IssuePrioritising urban regeneration over new-town development for relocated agencies1 trends · 1 signals
- TrendRising perceived insecurity after a long decline1 signals
- IssueTailoring follow-up policies to each innovation-city type0 trends · 2 signals
- IssueThe plan proposes a '5 poles and 3 special regions' multi-core national structure backed by decentralisation2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueWithout escaping the center-basic, region-industrial yoke, Korea risks reverse growth1 trends · 1 signals
Welfare & Health 18
0-3 years 8
- TrendFatherhood is being reclassified as a perinatal health event for men2 signals
- SignalHealth insurers describe the arrangement as a growth channel on 2025 earnings calls
- SignalLatin American prison tuberculosis notification runs 29 times community rates
- SignalMen face 12 times normal mortality and 129 times overdose risk in the fortnight after release
- IssueMisuse of antibiotics and low public awareness accelerating resistance1 trends · 1 signals
- SignalPwC's Global Health Report names prevention, prediction, decentralisation, and outcomes
- SignalSecond UK five-year AMR National Action Plan launched in 2024
- SignalSpain among Europe's largest antibiotic consumers, though 2023 use was below 2016
4-10 years 8
- IssueCompound health crisis from low fertility, ageing, chronic disease and endemic infection0 trends · 2 signals
- IssueIntegrated governance for fragmented child and parenting support0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueLeft to default, benefits concentrate where capacity already exists3 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePersistent risk of new pandemics and fragile preparedness funding1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalScarcity and Predictive Uncertainty: Implications for Societal Resource Allocation
- IssueState responsibility for preventing gender violence and restoring victims1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe plan seeks a 'life-respecting safe society' with a clear disaster control tower and a framework act on life and safety1 trends · 0 signals
- TrendToward permanent preparedness and One Health as organising model1 signals
Other 2
- IssueGlobal antimicrobial use stemmed as in the UK1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWeak support for global health bodies raising pandemic risk1 trends · 0 signals
Education & Generations 4
- SignalHumanities and social science research receives only 1.0% of Korea's 29.6 trillion won government R&D budget
- SignalNational AI skills programmes across the UK, Singapore and Korea
- IssuePublic Publications1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSchool autonomy, teachers' authority and education governance reform0 trends · 0 signals
AI & Computing 38
0-3 years 22
- Signal56 percent say their tech plans go out of date quickly against 16 percent of high performers
- Signal60% of executives already use AI in decisions; Gartner projects half of decisions AI-touched by 2027
- Signal64% call AI's decision implications important, 5% report great progress
- Signal86% feel unprepared to adopt AI and one in six has no C-level owner for it
- TrendAI is entering organizational decision-making ahead of the discipline to govern it5 signals
- TrendDigital twins of cities and territories to test public policy before acting1 signals
- SignalEU AI publications rose 300 percent between 2013 and 2023, led by Germany, France and the Netherlands
- SignalGartner expects over 40% of agentic AI projects to fail by 2027 on legacy constraints
- SignalKorea pursues 'AI for All' strategy targeting one AI agent per citizen
- SignalLeaders unclear on priorities are more pessimistic about AI
- TrendMacrotrend 1: task automation turns into purpose-led autonomy under human intent8 signals
- SignalNearly 90% of leaders champion AI where the organization has a clear AI vision
- SignalNew diagnostic framework finds LLM personas fail to update beliefs like humans in deliberative polling
- SignalOrdinary, Reasonable Chatbots: Do AI Models Track Human Legal Judgments?
- SignalPIK set up a Planetary Boundaries Science Lab in 2025
- SignalParticipatory Moral AI Is Not Neutral: The Invisible Hand of Developers
- SignalReading Between The Lines: Modeling and Evaluating Behavioral Realism in Legal Simulation
- TrendTechnology strategies expire before implementation as the landscape keeps moving7 signals
- SignalThe 'Building towards scale' recommendations were machine-led in development
- SignalThe report groups its 10 trends into three named themes
- SignalTrust Is Not a Score: Runtime Assurance Contracts for High-Risk AI Agents
- IssueWhether a single year of ambition can be executed is the report's central open question2 trends · 0 signals
4-10 years 11
- SignalAccountability Asymmetry and Structural Trust in Autonomous AI Systems
- IssueAdvantage moves from model access to imagination and deployment governance1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalAgentic Economies for Autonomous Scientific Discovery
- SignalCredible, Not Always Correct: How Reddit Users Verify AI-Generated Legal Advice
- TrendFrontier AI research has shifted from academia to industry3 signals
- IssueKorea-China cooperation on AI diffusion in third countries1 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePublic research cannot follow frontier AI, and industry contracts bind the academics who do1 trends · 2 signals
- IssueThe gap between vendor promises and executive accountability1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalThe report dates autonomous decision-routing to 2028-2030 and system-level orchestration to 2030+
- IssueThe six macrotrends are asserted to be one convergent transformation, not six agendas6 trends · 1 signals
- IssueUsing generative AI to speed up foresight while keeping expert validation1 trends · 0 signals
11-30 years 5
- IssueAdaptation itself distributes benefits unequally1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalCo-constructing sociotechnical AI governance through participatory system mapping
- SignalModeling Correlated Errors in AI-Agent Committees Cuts Expected Decision Loss by 15.7%
- SignalNo One to Blame: a framework of constitutive AI unaccountability
- SignalPunctuated Equilibria in Artificial Intelligence: The Institutional Scaling Law and the Speciation of Sovereign AI
Bio & Health Tech 2
Energy & Climate Tech 22
0-3 years 5
- SignalA 2024-founded startup demonstrates data centre demand modulation with a national grid operator
- SignalBasic Plan demand forecasts flipped from underestimation to overestimation
- SignalForecast error in Korea's Basic Plans widens sharply with the projection horizon
- SignalKorea's biennial Basic Plan sets a 15-year electricity demand outlook through multi-stage review
- SignalTransmission bottlenecks cut Korean coal plant utilisation from about 61 percent in 2020 to the 48 percent range
4-10 years 15
- IssueAsymmetric social costs of electricity demand forecast errors0 trends · 2 signals
- IssueBalancing demand forecasts by decomposing technology-driven efficiency effects2 trends · 0 signals
- TrendEnergy agencies are moving from single-point forecasts to scenario and range outlooks4 signals
- IssueFrom crisis relief to structural energy-cost policy under the Clean Industrial Deal1 trends · 2 signals
- IssueImplementation gap in Korea's 100 GW renewable target, with most volume still before permitting0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueInstitutionalising ex-post evaluation and periodic recalibration of demand forecasts0 trends · 3 signals
- IssueKeeping Korea's energy statistics consistent as integrated technologies change energy flows inside plants0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueKorea's First Renewable Energy Basic Plan: 100 GW of renewables by 2030, overwhelmingly solar0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueKorea's heat pump drive: targets of 690,000 units by 2030 and 3.5 million by 2035 to move heating away from city gas1 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePlanned siting to reconcile renewable expansion with nature conservation0 trends · 2 signals
- SignalReducing grid demand one percent of the time could absorb data centre growth to 2035
- IssueRepeated delays in transmission lines to Korea's capital region amid local acceptance conflicts0 trends · 4 signals
- IssueShifting Korea's Basic Plan from a single reference forecast to multiple scenarios2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueStructural asymmetry: Korea's forecasts itemise demand growth but not market-driven efficiency2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueWhether the 11th Basic Plan's 16.3GW demand-management target delivers verifiable savings1 trends · 0 signals
Space & Mobility 2
- IssueBuilding legal, regulatory, funding and knowledge foundations for extreme R&D under responsible innovation0 trends · 1 signals
- IssuePunitive responses to failure hold back Korea's extreme R&D in space, deep sea and polar regions0 trends · 0 signals
Digital Infrastructure & Cyber 15
- SignalA telecom security chief treats AI risk as an extension of software lifecycle discipline
- IssueAI security risk is partitioned into data, model, application and infrastructure domains1 trends · 1 signals
- TrendAI-enabled digital crime and transnational criminal networks outgrow domestic law enforcement0 signals
- IssueAdaptive strategy is bounded by the state of the data foundation beneath it1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueAgent proliferation requires real-time behavioural monitoring and dynamic privilege limits2 trends · 1 signals
- SignalChameleon: Robust Defense Against Tor Website Fingerprinting via Many-to-Many Traffic Morphing
- SignalDigital government outages, data leaks and a national data centre fire eroded public trust
- TrendExpansion of e-commerce and digital government0 signals
- SignalFire at Korea's national information resources centre exposed physical data-centre fragility
- SignalOnly 25% of leaders prioritize digital security despite rising cyber-fragility
- IssueOrganizations most constrained by tech debt forecast the largest maturity leaps1 trends · 4 signals
- IssueShadow AI puts autonomous decision-making outside any governance perimeter1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSpecialised cybersecurity for libraries, museums and archives1 trends · 0 signals
- SignalStudy warns super-app architecture enables covert state-linked surveillance, citing Russia's MAX
- TrendTechnology-driven disinformation, cyberattack risks and persistent industrial accidents raise safety stakes0 signals
Values & Lifestyles 17
0-3 years 11
- Signal16% scaled back D&I, but most of them paused some efforts while continuing others
- Signal45% of those who scaled back expect to restore D&I efforts within two years
- IssueChange fatigue from repeated cosmetic reorganizations erodes trust in further redesign1 trends · 1 signals
- SignalD&I commitment holds at 83-84% in Europe and Asia-Pacific against 75% in North America
- SignalEdelman 2026 Trust Barometer: 70% Distrust Those with Different Values — "Insular Trust Mindset"
- SignalLack of measurable outcomes (30%) outranks political climate (27%) as a D&I challenge
- SignalReflective leaders report higher confidence in adapting and clearer strategic visibility
- SignalSatisfaction and trust top the reported results of human-centric leadership
- TrendShift 8: diversity and inclusion is being refocused rather than abandoned8 signals
- SignalTime pressure (47%) is the leading obstacle to psychological safety
- SignalTrust in employers fell in 2025 for the first time since 2018
4-10 years 3
- IssuePolicy area 4: value laden governance and biased systems become sources of tension2 trends · 1 signals
- TrendShift 9: leadership is redefined in human-centric, inside-out terms7 signals
- SignalThe Effect of Perceived Race and Gender on Police Language Use: Experimental Evidence from VR Simulations
11-30 years 3
- TrendMegatrend 1: Social change and diversification of values1 signals
- IssueShifting perceptions of traditional values and declining institutional trust0 trends · 0 signals
- TrendTrend B: Changing values and declining trust in institutions2 signals
Media & Information Ecosystem 16
0-3 years 10
- TrendAI-enabled disinformation increasing mistrust0 signals
- TrendDisinformation targeting polarised issues such as climate and immigration0 signals
- IssueMis- and disinformation as the most imminent risk0 trends · 0 signals
- SignalPress freedom groups sue Trump Media over paid early access to president's Truth Social posts
- TrendRising pressure on journalists and media pluralism0 signals
- SignalStudy Finds Rising LLM Stylistic Trace (Em-Dash Usage) in US Congressional Press Releases
- SignalThe foresight rests on an internal platform and NTT Group's own expert network
- IssueThe report's forecasts rest on the publisher's own private-market scores3 trends · 1 signals
- SignalTrust assessment fragments into community-specific frameworks
- SignalTrust in news in Korea stands at 31 percent, 37th of 48 countries surveyed
4-10 years 5
- IssueConflicting worldviews and perceived versus actual polarisation1 trends · 0 signals
- TrendFertile ground in the Netherlands for anti-institutional conspiracy theories0 signals
- IssueInstitutional mechanisms for balanced media coverage of Korea-Japan relations0 trends · 0 signals
- TrendRise of alternative 'truths' and conspiracy theories0 signals
- TrendShifting media landscape amplifying dis- and misinformation4 signals
11-30 years 1
- IssueInformation trust crisis and entrenched structural bias0 trends · 1 signals