Issue Sufficiency thresholds sit unreconciled beside the report's own compute expansion forecasts
Summary
This issue highlights a tension between two strands of NTT DATA's Technology Foresight 2026. In its sufficiency macrotrend, the report presents technology as a tool for intelligent moderation, using AI, digital twins and integrated resource systems to find optimal limits rather than pursue endless growth. Yet in its infrastructure macrotrend, it describes computing demand exploding because of AI, connected devices and distributed intelligence. Its market tables also forecast steep growth in AI infrastructure, and it frames national control over data and computation as a priority, which may mean duplicated capacity. The report acknowledges that energy, sovereignty and sustainability constraints are intensifying, but it does not explain how deliberate thresholds would be applied to this expansion. The two logics therefore sit side by side without being reconciled.
Classification
Evidence 2
- Technology Foresight 2026: Sustaining growth in the era of mass intelligence NTT DATA page=58;section=6 From illusory efficiency to sufficiency / What it is and why it matters now 2026-03 accessed 2026-07-26
- Technology Foresight 2026: Sustaining growth in the era of mass intelligence NTT DATA page=38;section=4 Informed infrastructure / What it is and why it matters now 2026-03 accessed 2026-07-26
Constituent trends 2
Directly linked signals 2
Relation types: constitutes · direct_urgent
Public id: fm-1381b993426a
