Trend Protectionism fracturing technology ecosystems and interoperability

Summary

The report expects that rising protectionism and fragmented technology ecosystems could restrict interoperability, holding back innovation and widening the global digital divide. The opening of the technology theme explains that the race for key components such as advanced semiconductors is a driver of geopolitical change. The digital platforms chapter similarly foresees the internet splitting into splinternets along regional policy lines, creating digital islands. Such policy fragmentation could strengthen the dominance of technology giants, concentrating risk and pushing aside smaller innovators. The report also links this to the chronic risk of challenges to international institutions, since weaker institutions struggle to secure universal agreements on technology regulation.