Signal Report forecasts 80 percent of organizations shrinking engineering teams by 2030

Summary

Gartner forecasts that by 2030, 80% of organisations will have cut their big software engineering groups down into compact teams supported by AI. It calls this model tiny teams. The forecast rests on development platforms that use generative AI, ranging from single-prompt tools to coordinated groups of agents that build software alongside staff. Gartner gives the example of five teams of two people delivering five applications simultaneously with the same resources. As with other forecasts in the report, no method or sample is given, so the figure should be read as Gartner's expectation rather than a measured trend.