Trend China is driving the rise of the electrostate
Summary
This trend describes China becoming the world's first electrostate, an economy and society that rely increasingly on renewable power rather than fossil fuels. Some 65 per cent of the solar and wind capacity added worldwide in 2024 came from China. It aims for renewables to supply more than half of its electricity by 2030 and 75 per cent by 2040. Its investment in renewable energy far exceeds that of any other country, and in 2025 its energy-sector emissions began to fall despite rising consumption. Chinese technology is also speeding up electrification in other countries. Sitra expects this to strengthen China's lead in clean technology and reshape the global energy economy.
Classification
Main topicEnergy & Climate Tech
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-07-25)
Published2026-01
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST
Evidence 1
- Megatrends 2026: Towards a new social contract Sitra (the Finnish Innovation Fund) page=53;section=Trends: CHINA AND THE ELECTROSTATE 2026-01 accessed 2026-07-25
Futures articles 1
Observed signals 4
- SignalChina produced 65 per cent of the world's new solar and wind power in 2024
- SignalChina's energy-sector emissions began to decline in 2025 despite rising consumption
- SignalIEA Global Energy Review 2026: renewable capacity additions hit 800 GW, a 23rd consecutive record
- SignalSolar PV Meets Largest Share of Global Energy Demand Growth in 2025 — First Time in History
Part of issues 0
No objects.
Relation types: supports
Public id: fm-b81a54175491
