Issue Uneven pathways to prosperity
Summary
This issue describes routes to prosperity diverging sharply between countries. UNDP argues that prosperity now depends on capabilities, resilience and the ability to adapt, not only on income growth. After the pandemic, countries with stronger institutions, fiscal room and human capital recovered faster, while others remain trapped in low growth, and the 2020s could become the slowest-growing decade since the 1960s. Debt, climate and environmental stress, and labour market disruption narrow the path forward even where poverty headlines improve, as extreme poverty still affects 46% of people in sub-Saharan Africa. Technology deepens the split by raising productivity for some while exposing gaps in skills, social protection and finance for others, making past development gains look fragile.
Classification
Evidence 1
- The landscape of development: UNDP trends update 2026 United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Strategy & Futures Team, Executive Office page=11;section=Theme 6: Uneven pathways to prosperity 2026-02 accessed 2026-07-25
Constituent trends 1
- TrendGrowing inequalities fueling discontent0 signals
Directly linked signals 5
- SignalDomestic resource mobilisation and tax reform prioritised at Sevilla
- SignalGrowth below 3% in 2026-27 makes the 2020s the slowest decade since the 1960s
- SignalInequality ranked the most interconnected global risk of the decade
- SignalNature investment estimated at $10 trillion of business value and 395 million jobs
- SignalPoverty falling in 80% of countries while sub-Saharan extreme poverty stays at 46%
Relation types: constitutes · direct_urgent
Public id: fm-cadf4fc8d265
