Signal Population projected at 20.6 million in 2070 (band 17.5 to 23.9 million)

Summary

The latest Dutch population projection puts the population at 20.6 million in 2070, but the report stresses that the figure carries great uncertainty and gives a plausible range of 17.5 to 23.9 million. It shows a chart from the state commission on demography, based on the CBS projection for 2022 to 2070, with a point estimate and confidence intervals. The report sees future growth as coming almost entirely from migration, with net inflows well above 100,000 a year recently but a slight decline expected. The commission regards moderate growth as the most desirable path and calls for policy that keeps growth manageable. Combined with household thinning, population growth raises the need for dwellings and adds pressure to an already widened housing shortage.