Trend Trend C: Risks becoming routine, diversified and global
Summary
New risks such as climate change, cyberattacks, AI hazards and pandemics are growing in frequency, reach and intensity. They are also broadening into compound digital, ecological and social risks that spread across the globe. Unpredictable and interconnected hazards are coming to act as an existential threat to humanity as a whole. Under the megatrend of social change and value diversification, the trend groups issues on the expansion of transnational crime and the chained escalation of compound risks. Both experts and the public ranked it as a priority in the 2025 survey, placing it among the six driver candidates, though it was not chosen as a final dominant driver.
Classification
Main topicGeopolitics & Security
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon11-30 years (2026-09-30)
Published2025-12-31
Last updated2026-10-01 17:42 KST
Evidence 4
- 제7회 과학기술예측조사 연구(1차년도) 한국과학기술기획평가원(KISTEP) page=146;section=제4장 제2절 3. 주요 동인 선정 2025-12-31 accessed 2026-09-30
- 제7회 과학기술예측조사 연구(1차년도) 한국과학기술기획평가원(KISTEP) page=142;section=제4장 제2절 1. 불확실성·파급효과 분석 2025-12-31 accessed 2026-09-30
- 제7회 과학기술예측조사 연구(1차년도) 한국과학기술기획평가원(KISTEP) page=142;section=제4장 제2절 1. 불확실성·파급효과 분석 2025-12-31 accessed 2026-09-30
- 제7회 과학기술예측조사 연구(1차년도) 한국과학기술기획평가원(KISTEP) page=117;section=제3장 제4절 1. 사회 변화와 가치 다양화 2025-12-31 accessed 2026-09-30
Observed signals 2
Part of issues 0
No objects.
Relation types: supports
Public id: fm-430fe28d45b8
