Issue Scenario: mandatory domestic supply chains force clouds to split AI workloads by bloc
Summary
One of NTT DATA's future scenarios for sovereign silicon imagines regional computing zones reshaping the global cloud. In it, countries set up regional sovereign computing hubs and require domestic supply chains for them. Cloud providers would then be forced to spread AI workloads along geopolitical lines rather than purely by cost or performance. This would fragment what is today a largely global cloud footprint into blocs. The report names two main uncertainties, namely whether national investments can reach competitive performance and whether data or models can move reliably between sovereign zones. The scenario highlights a possible trade-off between sovereignty and efficiency.
Classification
Evidence 3
- Technology Foresight 2026: Sustaining growth in the era of mass intelligence NTT DATA page=56;section=5 Sovereign silicon ecosystems / Future scenarios 2026-03 accessed 2026-07-26
- Technology Foresight 2026: Sustaining growth in the era of mass intelligence NTT DATA page=56;section=5 Sovereign silicon ecosystems / Future scenarios 2026-03 accessed 2026-07-26
- Technology Foresight 2026: Sustaining growth in the era of mass intelligence NTT DATA page=56;section=5 Sovereign silicon ecosystems / Future scenarios 2026-03 accessed 2026-07-26
Constituent trends 1
Directly linked signals 0
No objects.
Relation types: constitutes
Public id: fm-43cb0ec47248
