Signal Korea's working-age population projected to fall from 37.5 million in 2020 to about 25 million by 2040 as national debt climbs
Summary
The tax-base overview projects that Korea's working-age population will fall from 37.5 million in 2020 to around 25 million by 2040. It places this within the country's entry into a super-aged society in 2025, when one in five residents will be 65 or older. The overview also tracks national debt rising from 43.8 percent of GDP in 2020 to 54.5 percent in 2024, with a Ministry of Economy and Finance projection of more than 70 percent by 2035. The survey uses these figures to show how a shrinking base of workers and consumers erodes tax revenue while welfare obligations expand. It concludes that the combination makes fiscal sustainability an increasingly urgent structural concern.
Classification
Evidence 2
- 제7회 과학기술예측조사 연구(1차년도) [별책] 이슈 상세개요서 한국과학기술기획평가원(KISTEP) page=320;section=Ⅲ. 인구구조 변화와 축소 사회로 전환 / 28. 세수기반 감소와 재정구조 재편 (1) 개요 2025-12-31 accessed 2026-09-30
- 제7회 과학기술예측조사 연구(1차년도) [별책] 이슈 상세개요서 한국과학기술기획평가원(KISTEP) page=319;section=Ⅲ. 인구구조 변화와 축소 사회로 전환 / 28. 세수기반 감소와 재정구조 재편 (1) 개요 2025-12-31 accessed 2026-09-30
Part of trends 0
No objects.
Directly linked issues 1
- IssueShrinking tax base and the restructuring of public finances0 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: direct_urgent
Public id: fm-55f2aaa9cc3c
