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Latest observation
2026-10-08
Public objects
4434
Build time
2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Signal Fifty-nine active state-based conflicts, the most since 1945

Summary

This signal gives a headline count of how many wars involving states are under way. UNDP reports 59 active state-based conflicts, the largest number since the Second World War. It sits within a broader picture of conflict at record levels, including long-running crises in Ukraine, Gaza, Sudan, the Sahel and the Democratic Republic of Congo. Many of these conflicts are protracted and rooted in tensions left unresolved for years. Only 4% of conflicts in the 2010s ended with a peace agreement, suggesting that wars are accumulating faster than they are being settled. The result is growing pressure on fragile settings and on the humanitarian system.

Classification

Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-25)
Published2026-02
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST

Evidence 1

Part of trends 0

No objects.

Directly linked issues 1

Relation types: direct_urgent

Public id: fm-594176c1552e