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Latest observation
2026-10-08
Public objects
4434
Build time
2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Signal At least 20 countries hold military satellites with attribution difficult

Summary

At least 20 countries now operate military satellites, and the three largest space powers hold roughly 500 of them between them. EY also points out that the US, Russia, China and India have all carried out anti-satellite tests that created debris. If a debris event occurred, its cause would be difficult to attribute quickly. That uncertainty, EY warns, opens the door to strategic miscalculation between rival states. It is one reason EY regards orbit as valuable and vulnerable yet badly under-governed, with treaties that predate today's crowded and contested environment.

Classification

Secondary topicsSpace & Mobility
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-25)
Published2026
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST

Evidence 1

Part of trends 1

Directly linked issues 0

No objects.

Relation types: supports

Public id: fm-6b0b1c9e3ab1