Trend Rapid AI advances posing enduring safety, misuse and disruption challenges
Summary
The report defines AI as machines performing cognitive functions such as learning, reasoning, decision-making and problem-solving, and sees it as bringing both major economic and social benefits and enduring challenges. Fast progress could outstrip safety measures, invite misuse and disrupt society and the economy, so balancing risks and opportunities is essential. The assessment focuses on highly capable frontier AI that can perform a wide range of tasks, though many risks also apply to AI systems more broadly. Breakthroughs in machine learning, more computing power and vast training data have driven rapid progress, and AI capability has grown as compute has expanded. Meanwhile, risks such as biased training data, data poisoning, privacy and copyright concerns and the creation of convincing disinformation are rising.
Classification
Evidence 1
- HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) Chronic Risks Analysis HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) no link — bibliographic entry pp. 40, 41 2025 accessed 2026-09-29
Observed signals 3
Part of issues 4
- IssueAI arms race obstructing global consensus on misuse1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueAI automation eroding employment and the income tax base1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueConflicting interests in dual-use technologies need society-wide debate3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUncertain balance of AI job displacement and creation1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-80740c71616c
