Trend Fertile ground in the Netherlands for anti-institutional conspiracy theories
Summary
The report finds that anti-institutional conspiracy theories, for example about climate change or governing elites, have the largest following in the Netherlands. Conspiracy theories meet a need for control and certainty about cause and effect in an uncertain world, and distrust has been fed by a sense that government is distant after digitalisation and the closure of service counters, as well as by scandals and the handling of the pandemic. Because most Dutch people can still tell fact from fiction reasonably well, disinformation is not yet destabilising society as a whole. Specific ideologically entrenched groups, however, are already highly susceptible, and stress and powerlessness strengthen dogmatic thinking. The report expects that further advances in AI will make fake news harder for larger groups to recognise, and that more parents who distrust the school system will prefer home education.
Classification
Evidence 1
- Rijksoverheid — Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties (BZK), Directie KIEM, namens de werkgroep Rijksbrede Trendverkenning Rijksbrede trendverkenning Rijksoverheid — Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties (BZK), Directie KIEM, namens de werkgroep Rijksbrede Trendverkenning no link — bibliographic entry pp. 44, 45, 46, 47 2026-05 accessed 2026-09-30
Observed signals 0
No objects.
Part of issues 1
- IssueElectoral volatility and harder coalition formation3 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: constitutes
Public id: fm-8a049eb8ac5f
