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2026-10-08
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The Futures

Trend Structural reordering of the international order and the return of great-power politics

Summary

The report sees the global foreign and security environment undergoing structural change as the international order is reorganised and geopolitical competition intensifies. It cites stronger America First policies under the second Trump administration and the return of great-power politics among the United States, China and Russia. China and Russia are attempting to build a multipolar system, and BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation are expanding their influence. The rise of the Global South is another element of the shift. The end of the war in Ukraine and the establishment of a European security order are also listed among the developments reshaping the environment. Against this backdrop the report calls for pragmatic diplomacy centred on national interest.

Classification

Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-09-30)
Published2025-12
Last updated2026-09-30 17:59 KST

Evidence 1

Observed signals 3

Part of issues 2

Relation types: constitutes · supports

Public id: fm-a44def67519d