Trend Rising, geographically concentrated demand for critical minerals
Summary
The report defines critical minerals as those that are vital to the economy while facing major risks to the security of their supply. Many are produced in small volumes or as by-products of other mining, are hard to substitute and are rarely recycled. Global use of raw materials keeps rising as living standards improve and clean energy technologies spread. The report argues that shifting away from technologies that burn fuel toward ones that consume materials creates a new weakness in energy systems. Mining and processing for many critical minerals are concentrated in fewer places than oil or gas, and because of by-product status and long lead times, supply responds poorly to demand shocks. The report concludes that this breeds over-reliance on particular countries and further unsettles already volatile supply chains.
Classification
Evidence 1
- HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) Chronic Risks Analysis HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) no link — bibliographic entry pp. 63, 64 2025 accessed 2026-09-29
Observed signals 4
Part of issues 3
- IssueA UK circular economy easing pressure on primary supply1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMineral shortages stalling net zero and escalating tensions1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTech dominance and critical minerals need targeted mitigation2 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-ae39d81fd227
