Signal OECD estimates Korea's potential growth falling from 3.08 percent in 2015 to 1.52 percent in 2027
Summary
The plan quantifies the fall in Korea's potential growth with OECD estimates. Potential growth was 3.08 percent in 2015, fell to 2.50 percent in 2020 and to 1.85 percent in 2025. The OECD projects a further drop to 1.52 percent in 2027. The plan attributes the slide to the shrinking working-age population and weaker productivity growth. It cites the series as evidence that a rebound through science and technology is urgent.
Classification
Main topicMacroeconomy & Finance
Secondary topicsDemographics & Migration
Occurrencescope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Impactscope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-09-30)
Published2026-06
Last updated2026-09-30 17:59 KST
Evidence 1
- 과학기술정보통신부 국민주권정부의 제6차 과학기술기본계획('26~'30) — 과학기술혁신과 AI대전환으로 모두가 누리는 새로운 성장 과학기술정보통신부 no link — bibliographic entry p. 25 2026-06 accessed 2026-09-30
Part of trends 1
Directly linked issues 0
No objects.
Relation types: supports
Public id: fm-c24fbb488202
