Signal IMF put Chinese public debt at 124% of GDP in 2024 once off-book items are added
Summary
MGI notes that its China government debt figures only partly capture off-book local government debt, and cites IMF estimates for 2024 of central government debt at 26 percent of GDP, explicit local government debt at 34 percent, local government financing vehicles at 50 percent, and further debt tied to special construction and government guided funds at 14 percent.
Classification
Main topicMacroeconomy & Finance
Secondary topicsDemocracy & Governance
Region menusGlobal
Occurrencescope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:CN
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-26)
Last updated2026-07-29 04:49:52
Evidence 1
- The global balance sheet 2026: Imbalance and divergence McKinsey Global Institute page=40;section=Endnotes 2026-07 accessed 2026-07-26
Part of trends 0
No objects.
Directly linked issues 1
- IssueChina's debt-financed growth model runs into limits that only consumption can relieve1 trends · 2 signals
Relation types: direct_urgent
Public id: fm-d4df23aad69e