Trend Double ageing and shrinking household size
Summary
The report bundles the rapid growth of the oldest age groups and the shrinking size of households under the heading of double ageing and household thinning. People aged 65 and over already outnumbered those under 20 in 2025, and the 85-plus group is expected to more than double to over one million by 2060. The state commission on demography expects the Netherlands to remain a comparatively old society even after ageing has peaked. Household thinning stems not only from more older people living alone but also from more divorces and young people moving in together later, and one-person households could reach 5.1 million by 2060. According to the report, these shifts raise demand for care and long-term care entitlements and weigh heavily on the housing market and care infrastructure.
Classification
Evidence 1
- Rijksoverheid — Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties (BZK), Directie KIEM, namens de werkgroep Rijksbrede Trendverkenning Rijksbrede trendverkenning Rijksoverheid — Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties (BZK), Directie KIEM, namens de werkgroep Rijksbrede Trendverkenning no link — bibliographic entry pp. 8, 9 2026-05 accessed 2026-09-30
Observed signals 3
Part of issues 3
- IssueHousing shortage and affordability under demographic pressure2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueIntergenerational fairness under ageing and climate costs2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueRising care costs and pressure on informal carers3 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-e2629b89982c
