A public dashboard observing signals, trends and issues.
SubscribeLogin한국어
Latest observation
2026-10-08
Public objects
4434
Build time
2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Trend Land carbon sink weakening and stagnating

Summary

Since the Industrial Revolution, land and ocean carbon sinks have absorbed about half of human carbon dioxide emissions, greatly slowing warming. Recent carbon-budget assessments, however, show that land uptake excluding direct land-use change has barely grown since around 2000. Carbon fertilization, longer growing seasons and forest regrowth add uptake, while heat, drought, fire, pests, tree mortality, ecosystem degradation and human appropriation of plant productivity erode it. The report judges that although land remains a net sink, it now buffers climate change less reliably than before. It also observes that the more carbon past fertilization has stored, the more could be released later through drought or fire. It therefore cautions that the persistence of a net sink should not be taken as evidence of a healthy and resilient biosphere.

Classification

Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-09-30)
Published2026-09
Last updated2026-09-30 11:23 KST

Evidence 1

Observed signals 1

Part of issues 2

Relation types: constitutes · supports

Public id: fm-f5cc33799be6