Signal National Pension fund projected to be depleted in the mid-2050s under current rules
Summary
The welfare-finance overview cites the 2023 actuarial projection of Korea's National Pension. It projects that the fund will be exhausted between 2055 and 2057 if the current contribution rate and benefit levels are maintained. The survey explains that contribution income is shrinking as the working-age population declines, while pension spending grows rapidly with the number of older people. The same overview adds that older patients already account for about 45 percent of total National Health Insurance medical spending. Together these figures underline growing concern about the long-term sustainability of Korea's social insurance system.
Classification
Main topicMacroeconomy & Finance
Secondary topicsWelfare & Health
Occurrencescope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Impactscope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Time horizon11-30 years (2026-09-30)
Published2025-12-31
Last updated2026-10-01 17:42 KST
Evidence 2
- 제7회 과학기술예측조사 연구(1차년도) [별책] 이슈 상세개요서 한국과학기술기획평가원(KISTEP) page=310;section=Ⅲ. 인구구조 변화와 축소 사회로 전환 / 27. 복지·연금 재정 부담 증가 (1) 개요 2025-12-31 accessed 2026-09-30
- 제7회 과학기술예측조사 연구(1차년도) [별책] 이슈 상세개요서 한국과학기술기획평가원(KISTEP) page=310;section=Ⅲ. 인구구조 변화와 축소 사회로 전환 / 27. 복지·연금 재정 부담 증가 (1) 개요 2025-12-31 accessed 2026-09-30
Part of trends 0
No objects.
Directly linked issues 1
- IssueMounting fiscal burden of welfare and pensions0 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: direct_urgent
Public id: fm-fff3cf3f1b95
