Trend Capitalism rebalanced
Summary
EY begins from the claim that capitalism is thriving and doing exactly what its incentives reward, channelling capital to the highest short-term returns, rewarding scale and ignoring costs that markets do not price. The problem is that these incentives were optimised for a stable world, and in today's volatile environment that optimisation becomes a weakness in resilience and long-term value. Some firms have diversified supply chains, trading efficiency for resilience, yet wealth and market value keep concentrating and AI is reinforcing winner-take-most dynamics. EY therefore sees the question as how and when capitalism adapts, not whether. The path it explores expands profit maximisation rather than abandoning it, with governments investing for the long term, investors allocating more widely and companies serving all stakeholders.
Classification
Evidence 1
- Futures Reimagined: EY Megatrends 2026 and beyond EY (Ernst & Young Global Limited) page=58;section=Megatrend 8: Capitalism rebalanced 2026 accessed 2026-07-25
Observed signals 9
- Signal91% of European companies report investor pressure on sustainability
- SignalCertified B Corporations up 131% since 2007
- SignalEmissions under carbon pricing up roughly fivefold since 2005
- SignalFirms with comprehensive training report 218% higher income per employee
- SignalGlobal adult literacy up from 81% to 88% since 2000
- SignalGlobal labour force participation projected to fall 0.2 points a year
- SignalRedirecting 1% of GDP to infrastructure or education raises output 1.5-6%
- SignalTop 0.001% hold triple the wealth of the bottom half; seven firms are a third of the S&P 500
- SignalTop 20 asset managers reach 47% of global assets under management
Part of issues 4
- IssueAutomotive: technology-agnostic strategies replace all-electric targets1 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePrivate equity: patient governance suits a rebalanced system1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUnderinvestment where value is long-term, diffuse or hard to monetise1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWealth and asset management: concentration rises as margins thin1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-02730627efde
