Issue FDI dominance coexists with sharply volatile portfolio and bank-related flows
Summary
The capital picture for the six Southeast Asian growth markets has two contrasting sides. Foreign direct investment is the dominant channel, supplying more than 70 percent of total foreign inflows between 2021 and 2024. Mergers and acquisitions, another key route for foreign money, have held steady in deal count, with Malaysia and Indonesia generating the largest shares. By contrast, portfolio flows and bank-related and other inflows have swung sharply over the past decade. The stable headline therefore sits on top of a volatile remainder, and it is these non-FDI components that explain most of the year-to-year movement in total inflows.
Classification
Main topicMacroeconomy & Finance
Secondary topicsTrade & Economic Security
Impactscope:transnational · geo_region:southeast_asia
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-26)
Published2026-04
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST
Evidence 1
- Global Opportunity Index 2026: Growth Markets in Southeast Asia Milken Institute page=5;section=Introduction 2026-04 accessed 2026-07-26
Constituent trends 2
Directly linked signals 5
- SignalCambodia's bank-related inflows turned negative in 2024 after driving growth to 2021
- SignalFDI rose to 72.5% of inflows to the six as portfolio share fell from 21.5% to 8.5%
- SignalFDI to the six rose from $50.0bn in 2015 to $74.7bn in 2024, averaging 67.6% of inflows
- SignalMalaysia had the decade's most frequent reversals in capital inflows
- SignalPortfolio and bank-related flows, not FDI, drove the decade's variation in inflows
Relation types: constitutes · direct_urgent
Public id: fm-50cef7f6c05a
