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Latest observation
2026-10-08
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4434
Build time
2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Trend K-shaped growth: output and income increasingly polarise between large IT firms and the rest

Summary

The strategy diagnoses that income and asset polarisation in Korea is deepening into what it calls K-shaped growth. Since the 1990s, opening and digitalisation have concentrated growth in large firms and the IT sector where Korea has comparative advantage. Non-IT industries face Chinese technological catch-up, and small firms have stagnated because they lack investment and workers. Unfair dealing between large and small firms and a dual labour market are said to amplify income polarisation. The government adds that regional gaps are widening, making polarisation a structural challenge alongside falling potential growth.

Classification

Region menusEast Asia Korea
Impactscope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-09-30)
Published2026-01
Last updated2026-09-30 17:59 KST

Evidence 1

Observed signals 4

Part of issues 3

Relation types: constitutes · supports

Public id: fm-53a384e3509d