Trend K-shaped growth: output and income increasingly polarise between large IT firms and the rest
Summary
The strategy diagnoses that income and asset polarisation in Korea is deepening into what it calls K-shaped growth. Since the 1990s, opening and digitalisation have concentrated growth in large firms and the IT sector where Korea has comparative advantage. Non-IT industries face Chinese technological catch-up, and small firms have stagnated because they lack investment and workers. Unfair dealing between large and small firms and a dual labour market are said to amplify income polarisation. The government adds that regional gaps are widening, making polarisation a structural challenge alongside falling potential growth.
Classification
Main topicMacroeconomy & Finance
Impactscope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-09-30)
Published2026-01
Last updated2026-09-30 17:59 KST
Evidence 1
- 관계부처합동 2026년 경제성장전략 — 대한민국 경제大도약 원년 관계부처합동 no link — bibliographic entry pp. 4, 57 2026-01 accessed 2026-09-30
Observed signals 4
- SignalIT output has grown more than four times as fast as non-IT output since 2000
- SignalKorea's income inequality stays above the OECD while wealth concentration hit a record in March 2025
- SignalKorean small firms produce under a third of large-firm output per worker
- SignalNon-regular workers at small firms earn 41.5 percent of the hourly wage of large-firm regular staff
Part of issues 3
- IssuePolarisation is judged to be damaging growth through human capital, fertility and demand3 trends · 2 signals
- IssueThe 2026 strategy organises policy into four areas and fifteen tasks from AI transition to a sovereign wealth fund2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe 2026 strategy seeks a simultaneous rebound in potential growth and an end to polarisation2 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-53a384e3509d
