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Latest observation
2026-10-08
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4434
Build time
2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Issue Polarisation is judged to be damaging growth through human capital, fertility and demand

Summary

The strategy assesses that persistent K-shaped growth harms not only fairness but also growth itself. On the supply side, lower motivation to study and work weakens human capital formation, a point the strategy links to an IMF finding that rising inequality leads to suboptimal use of human resources. Regional gaps raise competition and childcare burdens in the capital, and workers at small firms or in non-regular jobs avoid marriage and childbirth, lowering fertility and potential growth. On the demand side, high-income households spend a smaller share of income than low-income ones, and property-driven household debt weakens consumption. How to reverse these channels is the core question behind the strategy's pledge to overcome polarisation.

Classification

Region menusEast Asia Korea
Impactscope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-09-30)
Published2026-01
Last updated2026-09-30 17:59 KST

Evidence 1

Constituent trends 3

Directly linked signals 2

Relation types: constitutes · direct_urgent

Public id: fm-3b8e2564ad5a