Trend Megatrend 7: shift of power towards the East and the South
Summary
The last of the seven. The report describes economic power moving away from North America, Western Europe and Japan towards the emerging economies of the East and South as a process already under way, and grounds it in Asian gains in science and technology, population and middle class growth and natural resources.
Classification
Main topicGeopolitics & Security
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon11-30 years (2026-07-26)
Last updated2026-07-29 04:49:52
Evidence 2
- Megatrends 2040: Volatility, Uncertainty, Resourcefulness Hellenic Republic, Presidency of the Government — Working Group on Strategic Foresight and Futures Research (표지·판권면 로고로만 확인) page=15;section=Megatrend 7 Shift of Power towards the East and the South 2022-07 (문헌 본문에 발행일 표기 없음 — PDF 메타데이터 생성일 2022-07-25 기준) accessed 2026-07-26
- Megatrends 2040: Volatility, Uncertainty, Resourcefulness Hellenic Republic, Presidency of the Government — Working Group on Strategic Foresight and Futures Research (표지·판권면 로고로만 확인) page=15;section=Megatrend 7 Shift of Power towards the East and the South 2022-07 (문헌 본문에 발행일 표기 없음 — PDF 메타데이터 생성일 2022-07-25 기준) accessed 2026-07-26
Observed signals 8
- SignalChina and India put at 35% of world population and 25% of world GDP
- SignalFour declared nuclear states placed in Asia
- SignalG7 economic and political influence projected to shift to E7 by 2050
- SignalMiddle class put at about 5 billion by 2030 with two thirds in Asia Pacific
- SignalPwC cited: China already largest in PPP terms and largest at market rates before 2030
- SignalReport's military rankings for China, India and Pakistan
- SignalSix Asian states listed as having put satellites in orbit
- SignalVietnam projected as fastest growing economy and 20th by GDP in 2050
Part of issues 4
- IssueA more competitive geopolitical environment framed around the China challenge1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueA new phase of globalisation that also produces unexpected instability1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueKey point: new geostrategic policies and a multipolar world1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueNew free trade zones and rising protectionism at the same time1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-61b1d7f92a19