Trend Compressed modernity drives an extreme demographic transition in Korea and Japan
Summary
Among the crises the two countries face together in the twenty-first century, the report singles out the population crisis of low fertility and ageing as especially hard, because it is difficult to solve and its effects are far-reaching. Drawing on sociologist Chang Kyung-sup's idea of compressed modernity, it argues that Japan as well as Korea shows its features and that their shared population crisis is its product. The concept stresses not only speed but also the uneven and contradictory character of modernization, whose burdens fell on individuals and families rather than on the state or social systems. East Asian latecomers did not follow the Western pattern of demographic transition, as both mortality and fertility fell unusually quickly and deeply. This extreme transition has produced rapid ageing and a crisis of population decline.
Classification
Evidence 1
- 대외경제정책연구원(KIEP) 한·일 국교정상화 60년과 미래비전 2050 대외경제정책연구원(KIEP) no link — bibliographic entry pp. 225, 226, 227 2025-08-29 accessed 2026-09-30
Observed signals 4
- SignalJapan's population has been shrinking since 2010 and both countries face deep decline by 2050
- SignalKorea and Japan rank among the longest-lived populations in the OECD
- SignalKorean fertility fell below 1.0 in 2018 after a steeper and more coercive decline than Japan's
- SignalOld-age dependency ratios in Korea and Japan are projected to approach 80 by 2050
Part of issues 4
- IssueA three-stage Korea-Japan humanoid robot partnership toward 20501 trends · 0 signals
- IssueJoint Korea-Japan responses to local extinction through policy, youth and digital cooperation2 trends · 2 signals
- IssueLabor shortages from a shrinking working-age population1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueRising welfare costs and pension sustainability under population ageing1 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-701396e6601a
