Signal Korea's total population has been falling since 2021 with world-low fertility
Summary
The report's chapter on social change and labour supply starts from the observation that Korea's total population began to decline in 2021. It adds that the total fertility rate has stayed at one of the lowest levels in the world. Falling births combined with rising deaths are reshaping the population structure, shrinking labour supply and deepening ageing. KEIS warns that these shifts can translate into slower economic growth, lower productivity and heavier social security burdens. It argues that fertility policy is needed for the long run, while broader participation by women, young people and older people is needed to close the gap in the short run.
Classification
Main topicDemographics & Migration
Secondary topicsLabor & Future of Work
Occurrencescope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Impactscope:country · geo_region:east_asia · country:KR
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-09-30)
Published2024-12
Last updated2026-10-01 17:42 KST
Evidence 1
- 한국고용정보원 중장기 인력수급 전망 2023~2033 한국고용정보원 no link — bibliographic entry p. 90 2024-12 accessed 2026-09-30
Part of trends 1
- TrendOnset of labour supply constraints in Korea7 signals
Directly linked issues 1
- IssueSustaining growth under labour supply constraints in Korea1 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: direct_urgent · supports
Public id: fm-7099880759fb
