Trend US and Chinese extraterritorial controls push third countries to take sides
Summary
Rather than only targeting each other directly, Washington and Beijing increasingly regulate what third countries produce abroad and re-export. The US applies controls to equipment and technology through rules such as the Foreign Direct Product Rule, while China now does the same for critical minerals and rare earth technologies. Pressure on third parties has already spread beyond semiconductors to batteries, rare earths, AI and shipbuilding. The report expects the pattern to widen further into strategic industries and emerging technologies in general. For an economy closely tied to both powers, this means more frequent situations in which Korean firms are pushed to take sides on specific issues.
Classification
Evidence 1
- 대외경제정책연구원(KIEP) 미·중 전략경쟁 쟁점별 한국의 입장과 전략방향 연구 대외경제정책연구원(KIEP) no link — bibliographic entry pp. 5, 19, 653 2026-02 accessed 2026-09-30
Observed signals 5
- SignalBIS revokes validated end-user status for Samsung and SK hynix plants in China
- SignalChina's expanding critical mineral export controls culminate in a Chinese FDPR
- SignalTaiwan indicts Nvidia manager over alleged AI chip smuggling to China
- SignalU.S.-ASEAN Trade & Tariff Developments
- SignalUS Foreign Direct Product Rule widens to AI models and HBM, constraining Korean fabs in China
Part of issues 2
- IssueOpportunities and risks for Korean shipbuilding amid US-China maritime rivalry2 trends · 2 signals
- IssueSupply-chain participation choice pressure on Korea from US and Chinese controls2 trends · 4 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-82cc6eaa2dd2
