Trend Capital-region concentration hardens into a question of regional survival
Summary
More than half of Korea's population now lives in the capital region, which covers only about 11.8 percent of the national territory. The report finds that this single-pole concentration was not eased by the first relocation and has instead deepened, with non-capital metropolitan cities losing vitality as young people leave for the capital. Many non-capital local governments are already classified as at risk of population extinction. Accelerating low fertility and ageing, combined with youth concentration in the capital, have changed the nature of regional imbalance. What used to be a debate about sharing the gains of growth has become a question of whether non-capital communities can survive at all. Projections that the capital share will keep rising toward 2045 suggest the pressure will intensify further.
Classification
Evidence 1
- 국회미래연구원 인구변화에 대응하는 균형발전 정책 방향: 공공기관 지방이전과 인구이동 분석 국회미래연구원 no link — bibliographic entry pp. 7, 108, 121 2026-06 accessed 2026-09-30
Observed signals 2
Part of issues 3
- IssueResetting the second relocation's goal from capital-region dispersion to non-capital growth hubs1 trends · 2 signals
- IssueShifting balanced development from even dispersion to selective hub strengthening2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueWhy a second wave of public agency relocation is still justified1 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-84afa11d1703
