Trend Skills shortages and mismatches rising with technological and demographic change
Summary
Skills shortages arise when employers cannot find candidates with the skills a job requires, while skills mismatches occur when workers' skills do not fit the needs of a role. The report sees technological, social and economic change driving both problems up in the UK. As digitisation, artificial intelligence and the shift to net zero rapidly reshape the economy, some workers' skills are becoming obsolete and they need retraining to stay in the labour market. The ageing population is another cause, raising demand for health and social care while shrinking the share of people of working age. The report judges that shortages and mismatches reduce productivity, limit growth and also hit essential public services.
Classification
Evidence 1
- HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) Chronic Risks Analysis HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) no link — bibliographic entry p. 122 2025 accessed 2026-09-29
Observed signals 10
- Signal6% of UK businesses report recruitment difficulties in March 2025
- Signal7.5 million UK adults lack essential digital skills for work
- SignalAdult social care short of over 100,000 staff with 122,000 vacancies
- SignalAutomation forecast to affect up to a third of UK jobs
- SignalGet Britain Working White Paper 2024 targets rising inactivity
- SignalShare of employers providing training fell to 60%
- SignalSkilled worker visa launched in 2020 for shortage roles
- SignalT Levels with industry placements of at least 45 days
- SignalUK unemployment 4.4% in December 2024 to February 2025
- SignalUK vacancies fell to 781,000 in early 2025
Part of issues 2
- IssueUniversities losing students to cheaper AI-driven online courses1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWorkers retraining out of declining professions into AI roles1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-888ab5932587
