Trend Population decline is spreading to Korea's non-capital regions and their metropolitan hubs
Summary
Korea's first wave of public agency relocation was designed in the early 2000s, when both the capital region and the rest of the country were still gaining residents. That premise no longer holds, because the national population has been shrinking since 2020 and the non-capital regions entered absolute decline around 2019. Every non-capital metropolitan city has now joined this decline, and official projections show the losses widening toward 2045. The report stresses that the spatial concentration of decline is more worrying than the national total, since regional metropolitan cities once acted as a dam that held back outflows to the capital. If that buffer weakens, young people from small cities and rural areas may move straight to the capital region without stopping in regional hubs.
Classification
Evidence 1
- 국회미래연구원 인구변화에 대응하는 균형발전 정책 방향: 공공기관 지방이전과 인구이동 분석 국회미래연구원 no link — bibliographic entry pp. 30, 32, 109, 121, 122 2026-06 accessed 2026-09-30
Observed signals 3
Part of issues 4
- IssueConcentrating second-wave agencies in regional hubs under the five-pole, three-special strategy1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueConnecting hub-city growth to depopulating farming, fishing and mountain villages1 trends · 1 signals
- IssuePrioritising urban regeneration over new-town development for relocated agencies1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueShifting balanced development from even dispersion to selective hub strengthening2 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-97c8fedab799
