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Latest observation
2026-10-08
Public objects
4434
Build time
2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Signal Export controls widen and critical minerals become strategic assets as supply chains fragment

Summary

The plan observes that the spread of national-first policies is pushing the world beyond supply-chain blocs toward broad export controls on advanced technology. Critical minerals and energy resources are increasingly treated as strategic assets. It cites US controls on high-end GPUs, EUV equipment and quantum computing toward China, extended in June 2026 to the Mythos 5 AI model, and Chinese rare-earth export controls announced in April 2025 and widened in October 2025. Major economies are also diversifying supply chains and reshoring core production to raise industrial resilience. Examples include a 12 billion dollar US critical mineral stockpile called Project Vault launched in February 2026 and EU steps on dual-use export controls and a draft Industrial Accelerator Act in March 2026.

Classification

Region menusGlobal
Occurrencescope:country · geo_region:east_asia · geo_region:europe · geo_region:north_america · country:CN · country:US · strategic_group:EU
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-09-30)
Published2026-06
Last updated2026-09-30 17:59 KST

Evidence 1

Part of trends 1

Directly linked issues 0

No objects.

Relation types: supports

Public id: fm-9c1e4ebfc23f