Trend Migration infrastructure
Summary
EY reframes migration from political flashpoint to economic infrastructure - visa processing, credential recognition, housing, integration systems - and argues that this infrastructure creates advantage independently of how automation turns out.
Classification
Main topicDemographics & Migration
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-07-25)
Last updated2026-07-29 04:49:52
Evidence 1
- Futures Reimagined: EY Megatrends 2026 and beyond EY (Ernst & Young Global Limited) page=37;section=Megatrend 5: Migration infrastructure 2026 accessed 2026-07-25
Observed signals 8
- SignalA third of educated immigrants overqualified; 73% in Korea
- SignalBorders stratify by skill and wealth as humanitarian routes tighten
- SignalForced displacement at 123 million, nearly double a decade ago
- SignalHousing absorption failing: 5.1 Canadian residents per new home against a 1.9 average
- SignalOECD dependency ratio to 52% by 2060, with EU growth already entirely from migration
- SignalRecord 45.8 million disaster displacements in 2024; up to 216 million climate migrants by 2050
- SignalSub-Saharan Africa's working-age population to reach 1.6 billion by 2050
- SignalUS needs 67,000 semiconductor workers through 2030
Part of issues 3
- IssueAbsorption capacity, not supply or demand, is the binding constraint1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueElectoral cycles make migration policy unplannable1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMigration infrastructure holds value even if automation advances1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-bc28009ce9d7