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Latest observation
2026-10-08
Public objects
4434
Build time
2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Signal 78 countries fight beyond their borders as peace agreements become rare

Summary

This signal shows how widely states are drawn into wars outside their own territory and how rarely those wars end in negotiated settlements. UNDP reports that 78 countries, or 40% of UN member states, are now engaged in conflicts beyond their borders. Over the same long horizon, peace agreements have become far less common as a way of ending wars. Just 4% of conflicts in the 2010s concluded with such an agreement, compared with 23% in the 1970s. Together these figures suggest conflicts are becoming more internationalised and harder to close. UNDP links this to violence that escapes traditional peace architectures and raises the risk of deterioration in fragile settings.

Classification

Secondary topicsDemocracy & Governance
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-25)
Published2026-02
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST

Evidence 1

Part of trends 0

No objects.

Directly linked issues 1

Relation types: direct_urgent

Public id: fm-c0187dc68f08