Signal The eurozone returns to secular stagnation with flat productivity and high saving
Summary
MGI reads the eurozone as back in secular-stagnation-like conditions: flat productivity, higher saving, balance sheets broadly more in balance than the US except for cases such as Italian government debt, productivity growth down across Germany, France, and Italy, inflation until recently trending toward the ECB's 2 percent target though exposed to energy prices, personal saving rates high amid weak demand, per capita wealth down in PPP terms in Germany and France, and productive investment below prepandemic and global averages.
Classification
Main topicMacroeconomy & Finance
Occurrencescope:transnational · geo_region:europe
Impactscope:transnational · geo_region:europe
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-26)
Last updated2026-07-29 04:49:52
Evidence 1
- The global balance sheet 2026: Imbalance and divergence McKinsey Global Institute page=33;section=What this means for executives 2026-07 accessed 2026-07-26
Part of trends 1
Directly linked issues 0
No objects.
Relation types: supports
Public id: fm-c2989fbcec5e