Trend The productivity reset
Summary
Productivity stops being a static output-to-input ratio and becomes a dynamic system, as AI converges with regulatory shifts, supply chain rewiring, energy constraints, demographic change and the climate transition, forcing measurement to move from quantity to quality and creativity.
Classification
Main topicMacroeconomy & Finance
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-07-25)
Last updated2026-07-29 04:49:52
Evidence 1
- Futures Reimagined: EY Megatrends 2026 and beyond EY (Ernst & Young Global Limited) page=22;section=Megatrend 3: The productivity reset 2026 accessed 2026-07-25
Observed signals 4
- Signal57% of technology firms self-assess as AI leaders or fast followers
- SignalA fifth of mining companies plan a fifth increase in AI spend for 2026
- SignalAI forecast at $19.9 trillion cumulative impact and 3.5% of global GDP by 2030
- SignalDraghi frames European productivity as a forced choice between three goals
Part of issues 8
- IssueA measurement problem inherited from the industrial era1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueFour state-level constraints on the AI productivity lever1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueInfrastructure: productivity measured over the asset lifecycle1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueInsurance: judgment survives where risk is complex1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMining: prices mask declining labour and capital productivity1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueProductivity restated as accuracy times relevance times impact over cognitive input1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTechnology: sovereign requirements turn multinationals into targets1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe gap between vendor promises and executive accountability1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-d433efc65adc