Trend The productivity reset
Summary
The productivity reset describes a fundamental rethinking of what drives productivity, how it is measured and even what the word means. EY argues that AI is the leading force but that it is converging with regulatory change, geopolitics and reshaped supply chains, energy limits, demographic shifts and the climate transition. Together these forces turn productivity into a shifting system rather than a fixed factory setting. As machines produce almost unlimited content, the long race for quantity may give way to a focus on quality, creativity and the ability to turn information and ideas into lasting economic value. Workers will contribute less through executing tasks and more through judgment, creativity and orchestrating intelligent systems, while leaders will need new approaches to measurement, governance and work design. EY expects the winners to be organizations that rethink how value is created instead of simply automating existing processes.
Classification
Evidence 1
- Futures Reimagined: EY Megatrends 2026 and beyond EY (Ernst & Young Global Limited) page=22;section=Megatrend 3: The productivity reset 2026 accessed 2026-07-25
Observed signals 5
- Signal57% of technology firms self-assess as AI leaders or fast followers
- SignalA fifth of mining companies plan a fifth increase in AI spend for 2026
- SignalAI forecast at $19.9 trillion cumulative impact and 3.5% of global GDP by 2030
- SignalDraghi frames European productivity as a forced choice between three goals
- SignalThe AI-Human Workforce Evolution — "seniorization" of entry-level work and blue-collar renaissance
Part of issues 8
- IssueA measurement problem inherited from the industrial era1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueFour state-level constraints on the AI productivity lever1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueInfrastructure: productivity measured over the asset lifecycle1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueInsurance: judgment survives where risk is complex1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueMining: prices mask declining labour and capital productivity1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueProductivity restated as accuracy times relevance times impact over cognitive input1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTechnology: sovereign requirements turn multinationals into targets1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueThe gap between vendor promises and executive accountability1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-d433efc65adc
