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Latest observation
2026-10-08
Public objects
4434
Build time
2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Signal Violence costs $20 trillion a year with high claimed returns to prevention

Summary

This signal puts a price on violence and on the payoff from preventing it. UNDP reports that the global economic impact of violence reached $20 trillion in 2024, equivalent to 12% of global GDP. Against that cost, it cites estimates that each dollar put into prevention, through economic stability and strong institutions, can avoid between $26 and $103 in conflict-related costs. The figures come amid record levels of conflict, 59 active state-based wars and a sharp fall in peace agreements. The argument implied is that prevention is far cheaper than response, even as aid budgets shrink and defence spending rises.

Classification

Secondary topicsGeopolitics & Security
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-25)
Published2026-02
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST

Evidence 2

Part of trends 0

No objects.

Directly linked issues 1

Relation types: direct_urgent

Public id: fm-da1c6ccaff79