Signal Violence costs $20 trillion a year with high claimed returns to prevention
Summary
This signal puts a price on violence and on the payoff from preventing it. UNDP reports that the global economic impact of violence reached $20 trillion in 2024, equivalent to 12% of global GDP. Against that cost, it cites estimates that each dollar put into prevention, through economic stability and strong institutions, can avoid between $26 and $103 in conflict-related costs. The figures come amid record levels of conflict, 59 active state-based wars and a sharp fall in peace agreements. The argument implied is that prevention is far cheaper than response, even as aid budgets shrink and defence spending rises.
Classification
Main topicMacroeconomy & Finance
Secondary topicsGeopolitics & Security
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon0-3 years (2026-07-25)
Published2026-02
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST
Evidence 2
- The landscape of development: UNDP trends update 2026 United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Strategy & Futures Team, Executive Office page=7;section=Theme 2: Conflict cascades 2026-02 accessed 2026-07-25
- The landscape of development: UNDP trends update 2026 United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), Strategy & Futures Team, Executive Office page=7;section=Theme 2: Conflict cascades 2026-02 accessed 2026-07-25
Part of trends 0
No objects.
Directly linked issues 1
- IssueConflict cascades1 trends · 6 signals
Relation types: direct_urgent
Public id: fm-da1c6ccaff79
