Trend The rules-based international order is eroding

Summary

This trend describes the weakening of the rules-based international order. Dividing lines between states are deepening, and politics increasingly centres on national interest in a more multipolar world, which undermines international cooperation. Sitra points to a shift toward a bloc-based order, with the United States acting transactionally, China presenting itself as an alternative and the expanded BRICS group building mechanisms to reduce reliance on the US dollar. As rules erode, personal relationships between leaders gain influence, a problem for small countries such as Finland. The resulting tension raises uncertainty in international relations, markets and public sentiment, making diplomacy, conflict prevention and resilience more important.