Trend Terrorism threat to the UK evolving and exploiting technology
Summary
The report sees the UK as facing a lasting and complex terrorist threat from a range of ideological and geographical sources, chiefly religious and extreme right-wing terrorism. This threat is increasingly organised through online communities, while extreme left-wing, anarchist and anti-government extremism are judged to be much smaller threats. Technology is both an opportunity and a risk for counter-terrorism, since all four CONTEST pillars of Prevent, Pursue, Protect and Prepare depend on it, yet the internet can also enable radicalisation. Terrorist groups may use AI to gain capabilities that were once out of reach, such as boosting cyber attacks, running disinformation campaigns and aiding biological weapon design. The report also cites evidence that the spread of extreme violent material online is speeding up self-radicalisation, including among people drawn to violence without a clear ideology.
Classification
Evidence 1
- HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) Chronic Risks Analysis HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) no link — bibliographic entry pp. 15, 16 2025 accessed 2026-09-29
Observed signals 4
Part of issues 4
- IssueAI lowering barriers to more sophisticated terrorist methods1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSystems approaches needed beyond climate for highly connected risks3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTerrorism, organised crime and vulnerable persons most exposed to other risks3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUnregulated online spaces widening access to radicalising material1 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-189bdb53c59a
