Trend Megatrend 6: growth of the middle class and of consumption worldwide
Summary
The sixth megatrend in the Megatrends 2040 report is the worldwide expansion of the middle class and of consumption. The middle class is growing faster than other classes and capturing a larger share of total income, which brings investment opportunities, changing consumer behaviour and higher overall purchasing power. The report argues that the larger the middle class becomes, the more the economy grows over the long term, through stable demand, trust, better governance and shared values. Most of this growth is expected in Asia, with China and India together accounting for two-thirds of the global middle class by 2030. However, shifting consumption patterns are also expected to drive sharp increases in demand for food, water and energy.
Classification
Evidence 2
- Megatrends 2040: Volatility, Uncertainty, Resourcefulness Hellenic Republic, Presidency of the Government — Working Group on Strategic Foresight and Futures Research (표지·판권면 로고로만 확인) page=14;section=Megatrend 6 Growth of middle class and consumption on a global level 2022-07 (문헌 본문에 발행일 표기 없음 — PDF 메타데이터 생성일 2022-07-25 기준) accessed 2026-07-26
- Megatrends 2040: Volatility, Uncertainty, Resourcefulness Hellenic Republic, Presidency of the Government — Working Group on Strategic Foresight and Futures Research (표지·판권면 로고로만 확인) page=14;section=Megatrend 6 Growth of middle class and consumption on a global level 2022-07 (문헌 본문에 발행일 표기 없음 — PDF 메타데이터 생성일 2022-07-25 기준) accessed 2026-07-26
Observed signals 5
- SignalBrookings tipping point: half the world middle class in 2018, 5.3 billion projected for 2030
- SignalChina and India projected at 66% of the world middle class by 2030
- SignalChinese tourist arrivals in Greece up 31% in 2019
- SignalConsumption shift said to raise food, water and energy demand by 35%, 40% and 50% by 2030
- SignalWorld Bank forecasts cited as offsetting the slowdown in developed markets
Part of issues 4
- IssueClaim that a stronger middle class produces trust and virtuous governance1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueConsumption moving from basic goods to luxury goods and services1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueFood and water security under consumption and climate pressure3 trends · 1 signals
- IssueWater demand rises exponentially while supply turns volatile4 trends · 1 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
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