Trend Serious and organised crime growing and exploiting technology
Summary
The report defines serious and organised crime as individuals, groups or transnational networks planning, coordinating and committing serious offences, and it judges that the threat to the UK keeps growing. Such crime is driven mainly by the pursuit of money through trade in commodities or the exploitation of people, and it often has an international dimension because victims, goods or offenders are overseas. Technology can be used in every form of organised crime, for instance to hide communications or payments, which makes the response ever more complex. Crime groups are using technology more to stay ahead of law enforcement, while government and police are also adopting modern tools to pursue offenders and protect potential victims. The report sees this risk as intertwined with eight other chronic risks, including biodiversity loss, state threats and fraud and illicit finance.
Classification
Evidence 1
- HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) Chronic Risks Analysis HM Government - Cabinet Office and Government Office for Science (Foresight) no link — bibliographic entry p. 19 2025 accessed 2026-09-29
Observed signals 7
- Signal6,268 firearms offences in England and Wales, up 6%
- SignalAI-generated celebrity videos used to lure scam investors
- SignalDrug deaths at highest level since records began in 1993
- SignalDrug harms costing UK society over 20 billion pounds a year
- SignalModern slavery referrals reach 4,758 in Q3 2024
- SignalSerious and organised crime estimated to cost the UK 47 billion pounds a year
- SignalUpdated SOC Strategy of December 2023 targets criminal use of technology
Part of issues 3
- IssueChildren's device use raising exposure to online groomers1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueOffenders hacking connected devices and GPS to track targets1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueTerrorism, organised crime and vulnerable persons most exposed to other risks3 trends · 0 signals
Relation types: constitutes · supports
Public id: fm-e7de9d66ba0a
