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2026-10-08
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2026-10-08 19:44 KST
The Futures

Trend Conflicts proliferating and intensifying

Summary

This trend describes armed conflict spreading and becoming more intense around the world. Data from the Uppsala University Conflict Data Program show the number of armed conflicts at its highest level since records began in 1975. The count covers state-based conflicts, fighting between non-state groups and one-sided violence against civilians. It sits within a turbulent global setting in which the rules-based order is weakening and states pursue national interests in an increasingly multipolar world. The report stresses that diplomacy and conflict prevention are becoming more important as tensions heighten uncertainty for international relations and markets. For Finland and the EU, this also points to a need to strengthen defence capabilities.

Classification

Secondary topicsDemographics & Migration
Region menusGlobal
Impactscope:global
Time horizon4-10 years (2026-07-25)
Published2026-02
Last updated2026-09-30 12:56 KST

Evidence 2

Observed signals 7

Part of issues 1

Relation types: constitutes · supports

Public id: fm-9a78f79e8d44