NL Netherlands
by impact geography: 114
Issues 45
Economy 9
Macroeconomy & Finance 2
- IssueLow growth and reliance on productivity to sustain the welfare state2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueToward a 'scarcity economy' by 20504 trends · 0 signals
Industry & Supply Chains 1
- IssueUncertain future for energy-intensive industry2 trends · 0 signals
Labor & Future of Work 3
- IssueA persistent divide between the top and bottom of the labour market1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueAI thinning junior roles and triggering sectoral shocks1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueFuture competition for labour migrants as origin countries age1 trends · 0 signals
Trade & Economic Security 3
- IssueA multi-level Korean strategy toward EU institutions and individual member states0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueGrowing dependence on foreign technology and critical materials1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSecurity-driven economics and the efficiency cost of strategic autonomy3 trends · 0 signals
eNvironment 3
Climate Change & Adaptation 2
- IssueEroding public support for climate measures and policy reversals0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueRising climate damage costs, subsidence and uninsurability2 trends · 1 signals
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 1
- IssueEcological decline as a systemic risk to health, economy and resilience3 trends · 0 signals
Politics & Governance 16
Geopolitics & Security 3
- IssueAn unpredictable United States as security guarantor1 trends · 1 signals
- IssuePermanent split of the world order toward 20401 trends · 0 signals
- IssueWidening gap between threat and resilience2 trends · 1 signals
Democracy & Governance 10
- IssueAI in public administration: accountability and AI literacy0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueCross-cutting trends versus a government organised by policy column0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueElectoral volatility and harder coalition formation3 trends · 1 signals
- IssueGovernment falling short on delivery and expertise1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueParallel worlds and the erosion of national solidarity3 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePermacrisis and a creeping technocratic shift toward 20401 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePlace-based resentment despite small regional inequality0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueSecuritisation of social and economic policy3 trends · 0 signals
- IssueUnkept promises, overly complex government and access to justice0 trends · 0 signals
- IssueVulnerable rule-of-law watchdogs and power concentration2 trends · 0 signals
Tech·Digital Policy 3
- IssueAlgorithmic bias, privacy risks and weak democratic control of AI0 trends · 1 signals
- IssueDependence on foreign tech providers and digital sovereignty1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueIndustry influence keeping regulation of addiction and unhealthy consumption weak0 trends · 1 signals
Society 12
Demographics & Migration 2
- IssueIntergenerational fairness under ageing and climate costs2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueTension between moderate population growth and dependence on migrant labour2 trends · 0 signals
Cities & Housing 2
- IssueHousing shortage and affordability under demographic pressure2 trends · 1 signals
- IssueMounting pressure on scarce physical space1 trends · 0 signals
Welfare & Health 7
- IssueAn obesogenic food environment1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueDense intensive livestock near homes as a zoonotic risk1 trends · 1 signals
- IssueDigital and AI-driven inequality1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueEnergy and transport poverty in the transition1 trends · 0 signals
- IssuePersistent risk of new pandemics and fragile preparedness funding1 trends · 0 signals
- IssueRedefining the intergenerational care contract toward 20501 trends · 0 signals
- IssueRising care costs and pressure on informal carers3 trends · 1 signals
Education & Generations 1
- IssueVocational skills in demand but undervalued1 trends · 0 signals
Technology 2
Energy & Climate Tech 2
- IssueGrid congestion as the most acute transition bottleneck2 trends · 0 signals
- IssueStalled heat transition1 trends · 0 signals
Values & Culture 3
Values & Lifestyles 1
- IssueAI chatbots as companions and therapists1 trends · 0 signals
Media & Information Ecosystem 1
- IssueConflicting worldviews and perceived versus actual polarisation1 trends · 0 signals
Religion & Identity 1
- IssueUnfinished emancipation and continuing discrimination2 trends · 0 signals
Trends 44
Economy 7
Macroeconomy & Finance 1
- TrendAnxiety about declining prosperity0 signals
Industry & Supply Chains 1
Labor & Future of Work 4
- TrendAI as a system technology reshaping work0 signals
- TrendHeavy reliance on knowledge and labour migrants1 signals
- TrendStructural labour-market tightness from ageing and de-greening0 signals
- TrendTechnology and globalisation eroding low-paid and routine office work0 signals
Trade & Economic Security 1
eNvironment 5
Climate Change & Adaptation 2
Resources, Food & Water 1
- TrendDutch water quality under pressure0 signals
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 2
- TrendIntensified nature restoration producing results2 signals
- TrendSteep long-term decline of Dutch biodiversity1 signals
Politics & Governance 10
Geopolitics & Security 4
- TrendFrom liberalisation to scarcity, rivalry and defending own values0 signals
- TrendGeopolitical instability raising the threat of violence0 signals
- TrendHybrid threats as a structural feature1 signals
- TrendMore people sliding into online extremism, reaching younger ages0 signals
Democracy & Governance 6
- TrendCreeping democratic erosion in the Netherlands0 signals
- TrendDeclining academic freedom0 signals
- TrendDisinformation and conspiracy thinking fuelling institutional distrust1 signals
- TrendGrowing sovereign-citizen movement0 signals
- TrendOrganised crime gaining undermining influence1 signals
- TrendPolitical fragmentation and longer caretaker periods0 signals
Society 14
Demographics & Migration 4
- TrendDouble ageing and shrinking household size3 signals
- TrendMigration and growing cultural diversity1 signals
- TrendMigration-driven population growth in the Netherlands1 signals
- TrendPopulation growth continues, with wide uncertainty1 signals
Cities & Housing 2
- TrendRising perceived insecurity after a long decline1 signals
- TrendShrinkage in peripheral regions despite national growth0 signals
Welfare & Health 7
- TrendDeclining vaccination coverage0 signals
- TrendInequality in the Netherlands driven by social class rather than place1 signals
- TrendLifestyle-driven loss of healthy years; overweight rising1 signals
- TrendMore age-related disease and multimorbidity0 signals
- TrendSocial security systems under pressure and being reformed0 signals
- TrendStructural pressure on mental health, especially among young adults0 signals
- TrendToward permanent preparedness and One Health as organising model1 signals
Education & Generations 1
- TrendPersistent educational inequality and segregation0 signals
Technology 5
AI & Computing 2
Energy & Climate Tech 2
- TrendContinued fossil dependence and supply-security risk0 signals
- TrendEnergy transition entering an uncertain phase1 signals
Digital Infrastructure & Cyber 1
Values & Culture 3
Values & Lifestyles 1
Media & Information Ecosystem 2
Signals 25
Economy 2
Macroeconomy & Finance 1
Labor & Future of Work 1
eNvironment 5
Climate Change & Adaptation 3
Ecosystems & Biodiversity 2
Politics & Governance 6
Geopolitics & Security 1
Democracy & Governance 4
- SignalDutch Court Ruling Disclosed: State Failed to Protect Crown Witness's Family in Taghi Case
- SignalSlight rise in serious youth violence and knife violence
- SignalTrust in political institutions declining since 2021; trust in science high and stable
- SignalUrgenda (2019) and Shell (2021) climate rulings in the Netherlands
Tech·Digital Policy 1
Society 9
Demographics & Migration 5
- SignalAbout 42% of the labour force with a migration background around 2050
- SignalNet migration above 100,000 a year; natural increase negative
- SignalOver-65s outnumber under-20s in 2025
- SignalOver-85s projected to exceed one million by 2060
- SignalPopulation projected at 20.6 million in 2070 (band 17.5 to 23.9 million)